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"If the euro fails to go higher than $ 1.24, a new test of the lowest annual is very likely," warned early this morning, the analysts from Saxo Bank. The new incursion in the $ 1.22 actually arrived very quickly and a low annual dollar touched 1.2110 in late morning, while the previous floor was 1.2144 dollars (May 18) .

The symbolic level of $ 1.20 per euro is very close, even if the euro regained some strength on Tuesday afternoon (1.2239 to 16.30 dollars), after publication in the U.S. two good indicators on construction and manufacturing activity, which reinforce the prospects of a good recovery across the Atlantic.

To believe in technical analysis, however, a return of the euro against the dollar is 1.166 "inevitable".The lower this morning placed parity in graphic form delicate figure, called "double bottom" (in the form of a W) that had drawn these days was conducive to a strong rebound momentum. But with this new low index, the scenario is shattered. Below 1.21, the euro / dollar is vulnerable to a return to 1.18 and 1.166, is the course that was in effect at the time of its establishment 31 December 1998 low fee pay day loans.

The banking system under pressure

The euro has suffered Tuesday morning due to problems of sovereign debt that could spread to the banking system.The ECB has in fact warned Monday in its biannual Financial Stability report that banks in the euro area could face a potential second wave of loan losses may amount to 195 billion euros over the next 18 months Because of the financial crisis.

Lagarde: "Exporters do not complain"

French exporters, who complained when they felt too strong euro against the dollar, do not say anything since the European currency has weakened, said Tuesday the Minister of Economy Christine Lagarde in the corridors Assembly.

"Me, they (exporters, Ed) were all behind my door when the euro was at $ 1.45, claiming that the Euro was too strong (…) I have one today. So I think for them it should work. "

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