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The CAC 40 would he find his way? In any case, this suggests that his continued positive territory by mid-morning, up 0.64% to 3623 points after opening down 0.13% to 3595.66 points.

Elsewhere, the same trend. The London Stock Exchange, which opened down 0.37%, is now up 0.15%. The DAX index of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, which had also started the session on a decline of 0.27% is now 0.39%. The Madrid Stock Exchange, where banks are under pressure as explained in the El Pais newspaper in its edition today, regaining ground with a fall of 0.16% against -0.54% in early trade.

The waiting game surrounding the publication of results of stress tests of European banks calls for caution investors. On the currency markets, the euro back a bit against the dollar, under $ 1.29.

Volatility will be the point common to all European trading sessions this Friday.

Asian markets have been chosen more strongly green this morning. Yesterday, U.S. markets have done a great meeting at which time the Dow has gained almost 2%, relatively insensitive to the announcement of a surprise increase in weekly unemployment registration.

Consumption of French decline

In terms of macroeconomic statistics, the session looks very calm. No major indicator is expected in the United States.

In France, the French household consumption of manufactured goods fell 1.4% in June after the previous month was supported by purchases of televisions before the World Cup, according to figures published by INSEE before the opening markets.Throughout the second quarter, it shows a decrease of 0.9% after falling 1.9% on the first three months of the year. Analysts on average expected a rise of 0.2% in June

INSEE also believes that the request to industry has increased significantly in the second quarter but is expected to decline in the third. The balance measures the views of industrialists on the past evolution of aggregate demand was 9 in the previous survey in April to 17 in July, and 4-14 for foreign demand.

In Germany, business climate has improved significantly more than expected in recent weeks. The Ifo index rose to 106.2 against 101.2 in June (revised from 101.1 in estimating intials) last month. Economists and analysts had expected decline to 101.6.

TF1 jumped after its results

The stress test, however, occupy the banking sector.BNP Paribas (-0.60%), Societe Generale (-0.84%), Credit Agricole (-0.36%), Natixis (BPCE. -0.39%) or Dexia (-0.39%), remain cautious.

Moreover, the markets will again this session to analyze several quarterly publications:

TF1 (4.83% to 12.27 euros) announced before market advertising revenues up 11% in the first semester for a total turnover of 1.28 billion euros, above consensus. Net income group share was 74 million euros over the period. The objectives are significantly revised upward with a turnover in 2010 rose by 7% instead of 4%.

STMicroelectronics (-2.30% to 6.58 euros) reported Thursday a profit above expectations at 18 cents per share, with sales up 27% to $ 2.53 billion.Analysts on average expected a profit of 14 cents per share and a turnover of 2.513 billion dollars.

Pernod Ricard (-1.56% to 63.11 euros) a statement on Thursday its forecast annual operating profit thanks to the improved economic environment and its position in emerging markets. Its turnover in 2009-2010 emerged, up 2% on a comparable basis.

Ubisoft (0.65% to 7.02 euros) issued a turnover up 94% in the first quarter of 2010-2011 to 161 million euros and confirmed its objective of a sales draft 160 million for the remainder of the year.

BioAlliance Pharma (5.29% to 5.77 euros) announced a record turnover of 15.2 million euros in the second quarter against 1.5 million a year earlier, after recording in April in U.S. Loramyc, headlight treatment of fungal infections in patients with oral cancer or AIDS.

As for ads, Alstom (1.80% to 37.83 euros) said it had won contracts valued at about 450 million euros for the construction of two units for a combined cycle power plant in India.

Air Liquide (-0.40% to 86.43 euros) announced Friday the signing of a new contract with Russian steelmaker Severstal for investments worth 50 million euros in total.

Legrand (-0.61% to 25.06 euros) Thursday announced a takeover offer for Indo Asian Switchgear India, where he produced nearly 4% of its annual turnover after the acquisition.Indo Asian Switchgea aims for 2010 sales of more than 35 million euros.

Maurel et Prom (+0.24% to 9.42 euros) announced Thursday it had increased to approximately 70 million euros the amount of its issuance of convertible bonds to five years following the full exercise of the option overallotment.

lefigaro.fr / jdf.com – The announcement of the aid plan for the euro area has given way to a new period of pessimism. In this context, how you position yourself on the shares of the euro area?

Matthew Grouès – We are clearly overweight on European equities for the simple reason that we believe that growth prospects are not worst four months ago. The markets have overshadowed the recent economic statistics suggest, however, believe a sharp upturn in Europe in the second quarter.

For a month and a half, markets follow a path contrary to that they should follow since the last published indicators: the series of nine sessions up in mid-June was made with deceptive statistics, particularly retail sales and the U.S. real estate.Unlike the sharp drop in early June took place in spite of very good publications on the ISM manufacturing and job creation. But it is true that today it is mostly good statistics that go unnoticed. It's a classic situation in the tops of cycles, markets do not allow the bad news and low cycles, they close their eyes to the good news. The crisis of 2008 is still in the minds of investors.

So much so that markets fear a simultaneous "double dip" (recession followed by recovery and then a new relapse, Ed) and a return of inflation. What is unthinkable. This proves that markets are in crisis of confidence and they evolve in a logical flow sellers rather than a fundamental logic. And to overcome this crisis of confidence will take time.

But the crisis of confidence in the euro area it is not it paradoxically favor?

It is true that mistrust vis-a-vis the euro favorable to European companies. The decline of the euro offset the restrictions inherent in the plans rigor. All countries in the euro area will clearly not accommodated in the same boat. So, for those who have taken a severe restrictive measures such as Spain or Greece, the balance will be negative. But for others, the impact on growth will be close to zero. It seems that the markets have rediscovered that the euro is a currency like any other. It's a currency shared by several countries. This inevitably creates a certain fragility and justifies a risk premium.

So you are betting that the European companies will catch up on U.S. companies?

Absolutely.European companies have to suffer the restrictions imposed by states, compensated as I said the decline of the euro. In contrast, the U.S. will be doubly penalized: first, that says depreciation of the euro said dollar, so a handicap to competitiveness for U.S. companies. On the other hand, said that restrictive measures in Europe, said reduced demand from Europe.

It is true that the shares are not expensive in all markets, but if U.S. stocks were gaining 10% to 20% in the twelve or eighteen months, the increase should be between 20% and 30% for European equities. Europe contrary to what they say is absolutely no more defensive than the United States. The proof of this statistic: Since 1996, the EuroStoxx amplified movements of the S & P 500 twelve years in fourteen.And two years where the reverse happened, it was during changeovers cycle.

According to a study OpinionWay, 50% French do not have stock and have never held. Furthermore, 66% of them justify their choice by the risk profile of the action. In other words, they are afraid of losing money. What do you think?

I understand their weariness regarding the volatility of financial markets and they prefer to invest in money market products they do not risk losing money even if they do not relate. Incidentally, this is symptomatic of the mindset of investors. There is such excitement in the markets that investors prefer not to lose money rather than win. But they must understand that the only time they have an interest in shares, it is precisely when everyone else shuns.Focusing on the assessment that the actions have on others is not the best indicator.

Also, do not overestimate the impact of financial markets on the real economy, and thus justify the real evolution of financial markets. It is often said that markets anticipate a six to nine months ahead of the changing economy. But this is not always true. The evidence: In 2009, the savings came out much faster from the recession that markets had expected.

I know this may seem surprising but it is precisely now that they must invest in risky assets.In addition to actions, we are positive on the credit for the economic recovery remains favorable and the spacing recent spreads (spread between a corporate bond and government bond, Ed) be reversed.

Five months ago, you bet on an ACC 40-4600 points by the end of the year. This bet is it still relevant?

I think for this year will be a bit complicated. However, I would very surprised if it does not exceed 4000 points. The current level of ACC 40 is not consistent with the economic situation is relatively good: it would be justified if we knew another recession within one year, but I think absolutely not.

Macroeconomic reasoning to 12-18 months also clearly suggests that markets are highly appreciated.Whenever Will it materialize? Hard to say! The market movements often snap on a "spark" a good economic figures, redemptions of "shorts" (the investor buys back the shares it had sold short, Ed), publication of results, etc. . The question is what will this time that "spark" and when it will happen.

In Asia, stock exchanges like the message of the Central Bank of China, who said she was "determined to continue the reform of the mechanism of the exchange rate of the renminbi (yuan's other name) to enhance flexibility . An advertisement for a symbolic opening week of the G20 summit in Toronto, so that international pressure was becoming increasingly urgent.Now, the road to separation of the link between the Chinese currency and the dollar began.

The People's Bank of China warned however that the adjustments would not do at once.

According to Wang Tao, an economist at UBS, "it is possible to arrive quickly enough to an appreciation (the yuan) 3 or 4% in the coming weeks." Mark Williams of Capital Economics expects more modest gains: of about 2% vis-à-vis the dollar by the end of the year.

A rising yuan would also give China greater purchasing power, which would be positive for world trade and especially for commodity exporters such as Australia, Brazil, Canada and New Zealand. China is the second largest oil consumer behind the United States.The country is also the largest consumer of iron ore, copper and aluminum.

The currency movement

By Monday morning, the Australian dollar has gained one cent to $ 0.88. He then returned to 0.8765 dollar when China has set its reference rate for the yuan.

The three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange gained 2.33% to 6,585 dollars per tonne.

A barrel of oil gained 1.35% to 78.22 dollars per barrel of light crude Texan.

Green Scholarships

In trading, the index rose on average by 3%, according to the S & P Asia 50 Index, which comprises the largest market capitalizations in the region no faxing payday loans.

In China, the Shanghai Stock Exchange recorded an increase of over 2% on Monday morning. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng wins 2.6% to 20,806 points."The airlines, real estate or in metals are the most direct beneficiary of yuan appreciation," said Shen Jun, an analyst at Bank of China International.

In Japan, the Nikkei 225 wins 2.07% to 10,201 points by 6:45, while the Topix rose 1.87% to 901 points.

In Australia, the rise of the S & P/1SX 200 reached 1.22%, 4607 points.

China and Australia: EUR 7 billion contract

Australia and China on Monday signed several contracts worth 10 billion Australian dollars (7.1 billion €) after discussions between Prime Minister Kevin Rudd and Chinese Vice President Xi Jinping visits in the country.

The ten agreements, mainly in the field of mineral resources and energy, reflecting strong and growing cooperation between Canberra and its largest trading partner, largest consumer of mineral resources in Australia, Mr Rudd said in a statement.

Xi Jinping arrived here Saturday to Australia for a five-day visit during which the project should be tackled controversial Canberra tax on super profits of mining groups.

Beijing fears that the tax drives up the prices of raw materials which China is a big buyer.

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While the Paris index ended the session fifth consecutive increase, and finished with 3661 points on Tuesday night against 3380 points a week earlier, the CAC 40 does not seem to want to stop. At the opening Wednesday, the benchmark index of the Paris meeting starts up sharply from 0.72% to 3687 points.

In six sessions, the CAC 40 rose 9.1%.

Elsewhere in Europe, the counters are green as well: the DAX index of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange opened up 0.45% to 6203.01 points, the Footsie-100 from London to 0.56% in 5247 11 points.

Early this morning the Nikkei is ironed beyond the 10,000 points and by 1.8%. Same trend in U.S. markets, which closed Tuesday on a sustained growth over 2%.

In the first exchanges to 9:00, the euro is still evolving up 0.2%: $ 1.23 rating than he. Oil, he, trades at more than $ 77.The gold is worth more than 1233 dollars.

The large statistics of the day are American

From the macroeconomic side Wednesday in the euro area, 11 hours, the second estimate of inflation for the month of April will be unveiled.

In the U.S., housing starts, producer prices and industrial production for the month of May will be known between 14.30 and 15.15, before the opening of U.S. markets.Then, the traditional weekly crude inventories will be published.

Rodriguez's boss resigns after indictment

The specialist luxury yacht on Tuesday announced the resignation of its president, Alexander Rodriguez, indicted and jailed last week in a case of banditry, and substituting the group's founder, Gerard Rodriguez.

The scoring title, which had been suspended at the request of the company, will resume Wednesday.

Zodiac Aerospace: 1.83% to 44.7 eurosLe group, whose sales fell 7.6% during the first nine months of its fiscal year, said receiving encouraging signs of restarting the industry aeronautics in a context of more favorable exchange rate.The aerospace supplier confirms its annual targets.

In an interview with the Tribune, Zarrouati Olivier, CEO, says there is no plan to merge with another actor can French aviation capital and no operations are planned at this time with a group foreign

Distribution: showdown on judicial coffee pods Nestlé sued for infringing its competitor Sara Lee (Coffee House). According to information of Figaro, the casino dealer would also be covered by the complaint.Nestle, the world leader in food and owner of Nespresso, sued Friday in front of the Tribunal de Grande Instance of Paris the U.S. Sara Lee, which sells in France for use in coffee pods Nespresso machines under the brand Gold ( coffee house).

GDF Suez: -0.16% to 25.4 euros Tuesday, the group headed by Gerard Mestrallet did not hide his satisfaction at the announcement of the signing of a contract to build a gas power plant of a capacity of 1730 megawatts (MW) in Saudi Arabia. The operation is substantial. The future plant, which will be commissioned in late 2012, an output slightly above the EPR (1600 MW), for a price much lower: 2.1 billion dollars.

Suez Environnement: 1.47% to 14.5 euros The group announced Tuesday night that AA successfully placed a bond issue of 500 million euros over 12 years, due 2022 at a rate of 4.123%.

Ubisoft: 2.84% to 7.98 euros The company will offer four games straight out, November 4, the new gaming device from Microsoft, which will be followed by eight others currently in preparation, "said CEO Yves Guillemot to Echos.

Sanofi Aventis: -0.08% to 50.9 euros The French pharmaceutical group has signed an agreement to acquire Canadian independent group Canderm, a specialist in dermatology.This acquisition will allow Sanofi-Aventis to double its turnover in public health in Canada, according to a statement.

In addition, the company managed to obtain a refund of the medicine disorders dy heart rate, Multaq, 65%.

Dassault Aviation: 1.33% to 608 euros The Defence Minister Herve Morin said on France Info "fanciful" press reports that the modernization of combat aircraft Rafale required by the Emirates would buy 60 aircraft from four to millliards five euros of development costs, partly at the expense of France.

Ginger: +1.2% to 16.85 euros The Dutch Grontmij Ginger will buy at a price of 28.20 euros per share, creating the fourth largest European player in the field of consulting engineering, with a combined turnover 1.1 billion euros and 11,000 employees, both groups announced in a statement. The offer price values the company 120 million euros.

"If the euro fails to go higher than $ 1.24, a new test of the lowest annual is very likely," warned early this morning, the analysts from Saxo Bank. The new incursion in the $ 1.22 actually arrived very quickly and a low annual dollar touched 1.2110 in late morning, while the previous floor was 1.2144 dollars (May 18) .

The symbolic level of $ 1.20 per euro is very close, even if the euro regained some strength on Tuesday afternoon (1.2239 to 16.30 dollars), after publication in the U.S. two good indicators on construction and manufacturing activity, which reinforce the prospects of a good recovery across the Atlantic.

To believe in technical analysis, however, a return of the euro against the dollar is 1.166 "inevitable".The lower this morning placed parity in graphic form delicate figure, called "double bottom" (in the form of a W) that had drawn these days was conducive to a strong rebound momentum. But with this new low index, the scenario is shattered. Below 1.21, the euro / dollar is vulnerable to a return to 1.18 and 1.166, is the course that was in effect at the time of its establishment 31 December 1998 low fee pay day loans.

The banking system under pressure

The euro has suffered Tuesday morning due to problems of sovereign debt that could spread to the banking system.The ECB has in fact warned Monday in its biannual Financial Stability report that banks in the euro area could face a potential second wave of loan losses may amount to 195 billion euros over the next 18 months Because of the financial crisis.

Lagarde: "Exporters do not complain"

French exporters, who complained when they felt too strong euro against the dollar, do not say anything since the European currency has weakened, said Tuesday the Minister of Economy Christine Lagarde in the corridors Assembly.

"Me, they (exporters, Ed) were all behind my door when the euro was at $ 1.45, claiming that the Euro was too strong (…) I have one today. So I think for them it should work. "

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SeaFrance to court to denounce "numerous errors, deviations, differences in the accounts established in late 2009 by the auditor, appointed to audit the accounts of the company." The ferry company suspected fraud, particularly related to sales on board ships between Calais and Dover, for two years.

The prosecutor of Boulogne-sur-Mer, Pas-de-Calais, has opened a criminal investigation for "breach of trust", while the direction of the Company filed a complaint against X in March.

According to the spokesman SeaFrance differences accounts were "significant". According to Le Parisien, they concern "hundreds of thousands of euros".A significant shortfall for a company that has placed the supervision of the Commercial Court of Paris in mid-April to avoid bankruptcy.

This backup procedure had been launched a few days after a strike that lasted throughout the Easter weekend, and who literally "poured" the company: Blocking boats will "cost 1.25 million euros SeaFrance and can cause death of the company and all its jobs, "then had warned management of this 100% subsidiary of SNCF flexcheck cash advance.

Items returned at any cost

According to information from Parisian-Today in France, the auditor was particularly interested in returning items sold in 2008, "whose amount was 610,000 pounds, or 720,000 euros."

"It seems surprising that cigarettes, perfume or whiskey are subject to systematic customer feedback, and especially for these volumes," Le Parisien reported the briefing note written by the expert. Another oddity: there is no inventory of returned products, so it is impossible to know what these products have become.

In addition, differences in body are disturbing: the first four months of 2009, differences between the turnover and amounts in cases concerned 60% of trading volume.

Finally, discovering one of the ships of the fleet has the equivalent of a stock of thirty months of a brand of champagne, it is clear that there is something fishy.

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During a speech Thursday at the University Cooper Union in New York, Barack Obama forcefully defended his plan for banking reform. Faced with dozens of top leaders of institutions in New York, Bush has denounced "the furious efforts of professional lobbyists to shape this legislation in a way that serves their own interests."

Most of the bosses of big banks such as JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America or Morgan Stanley, had not moved to hear this lesson in civics."I am here today because I believe these reforms are ultimately not only in the interests of our country but also in the interest of our financial sector," argued the President of the United States.

"Some on Wall Street have forgotten that behind every dollar borrowed or exchanged is a family that wants to buy a house, finance the studies of one member, create a business or saving for retirement," said Barack Obama. The President relies on the unpopularity of the major New York banks to overcome Republican opposition. The charge of fraud brought against Goldman Sachs by the SEC, U.S. financial markets authority, maintains that state of mind.By their excessive risk taking, the largest financial institutions are held accountable by the crisis that nearly triggered one second Great Depression.

The "surcharge" balance

A version of the financial reform has already been passed in the House of Representatives in December. The text gives the executive the power to dismantle a large financial institution in difficulty. It forces to standardize financial derivatives and to rank them on organized markets transparent. The possibility of requiring commercial banks to abandon their activities altogether derivatives is proposed by some Democrats.

The reform also creates a new agency to regulate financial services to the general public.Barack Obama also wants to cap the size of banks and ban those who have access to the discount window of Federal Reserve to speculate on their own account. The Republican opposition was fierce against the idea of creating a new fund to rescue banks fed by a surcharge for banks. Conservatives see it as an institutionalization of the principle of systematic rescue large banks irresponsible. The possible loss of this part of the reform would respond to their wishes.

EUR / USD: The euro on a downward

Torn between good ZEW index of German industrialists in April and perennial concerns about the finances of Greece, the euro was hesitant. On Wednesday, he nevertheless resumed its downward trend started yesterday, when discussions begin in Athens techniques to study details of the mechanism of financial assistance that the country could then activate it if necessary.They should last about ten days after placement interviennet by Athens Treasury bills to three months worth of 1.95 billion euros.

The Bundesbank president Axel Weber has implied that Greece might need 80 billion euros of financial assistance to avoid bankruptcy, nearly double the amount provided by the European plan.

"Despite a modest rise in risk appetite, the euro remained under pressure during the night while the gap between Greek and German bonds rose to a new record of 478 basis points in the night, however, observed Michael Hart at Citigroup.

Pictet notes that "the return to rising world stock markets – after overruns linked to the case Goldman Sachs and the ash cloud Iceland – has left the dollar marble.

For Pierre-Antoine Dussoulier, president of Saxo Bank, the consensus presages a downturn in the euro.Support for the euro / dollar stood at 1.3280. One that is close, while the euro traded under $ 1.34 today, to 1.3387 to exactly 13 hours.

"Until then, support has remained resilient, but if it is broken, then the euro will fall to the next support, referred to 1.2455 dollar per euro, or levels in March 2009 and November 2008. The resistance is placed it, to 1.38 euros, but there is little chance that the euro is growing so very short term, the official said.

The pound sterling rose

While political discussions are underway with our neighbors across the Channel for the upcoming elections on May 6, the British pound is a positive trend, encouraged by the price index from March to well above expectations at 0, 6% against 0.3% expected.

It is 86.96 pence per euro and 1.5391 dollars on Wednesday.

Asian currencies purchased

Led by the change in monetary policy from the Bank of India Monday, Asian currencies continue to rise. As the NOK, which rises against the dollar at 5.8953. Even in Australia, the Australian dollar strengthens against the dollar and euro.

Canadian Dollar coveted

The Canadian dollar (CAD) remains the motto of all desires: while the Bank of Canada has hinted it may raise rates, the latter finally maintained at 0.25%. The loonie has flirted with parity from 1.0161 to 0.9941 Canadian dollars to 1 U.S. dollar. The momentum keeps a downward trend on Wednesday.

The central bank of Canada announced an upcoming recovery.It could then be the first monetary tightening of a G7 country.

* Definitions

• Forex: For Foreign Exchange, foreign exchange or market analysis • technical analyst or chartist. She studied graphic evolution courses. The research in the historical price behavior involved in a situation to predict the evolution of financial securities. • Pips: Price Interest Point. Unit rating for foreign currency. It designates the last digit is used: in the case of the euro, the fourth decimal place. • Trend: trend. • Range: Range. • Support: value as the price has little chance to pass down. • Resistant: value as the price has little chance of exceeding the rise. • EUR: Euro, USD: U.S. Dollar, or U.S. dollar JPY Japan Yen or Japanese yen, GBP: British Pound, CHF: Swiss franc .

A crisis? What crisis? The luxury group Hermes has earned over the year 2009, sales up 8.5% (+4.1% at constant exchange rates), to 1.91 billion euros, exceeding its objectives and expectations of analysts (1.886 billion according to the consensus).

Performance explained by the boost of holiday season. In fact the only three months of 2009, activity has soared by 18% (+11% constant).

"All geographical areas are progressing with the exception of Japan," the group said. This is not surprising. The improvement in the fourth quarter was very strong in the Americas (+20% after +1.6% at the end of the first nine months of the previous year) and Europe (9% after -0.5%) and Asia outside Japan is still very active (35% after 26%).

The two activities most contributors margins are very strong, with an annual turnover up 16% on leather goods – which represents about half of total turnover – and 6% on Silk (12% of total business) cash advance to savings account . The activities mainly wholesale sales are picking up later this year but remain in the red.

Hermes International has finally raised its initial target of 5% decrease in recurring operating income is now expecting a slight increase. Natixis Securities anticipates an increase of 1%. In addition, net income is expected "close to that of 2008, or 290 million euros. The broker for the time table of 306 million euros. An analyst meeting will be held from nine hours.

For 2010, the continuation of the strategy and twelve new branches are announced.

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"These companies are able to impose their prices

On the eve of the great Mass Association Annual Retirement Savings Afer, the past resurfaces and new twists are expected. Accused in 1999 of embezzling 128.9 million euros, the former leaders of the savings association G?rard Athias and Andr? Le Saux, were convicted on appeal by the Correctional Court of Paris, two years in jail suspended for breach of trust, and restitution of misappropriated funds between 1986 and 1997. This conviction was finally confirmed on 2 December by the Court of Cassation. This now opens the way for compensation to investors who suffered financial loss.

The SOS Afer Principles, which includes 400 members of the association, has therefore written to the Board of Afer asking him to recover misappropriated funds at the expense of savers."At least 400,000 members are concerned, are entitled to recover all amounts diverted, or about 250 million euros," said SOS Principles Afer.

We'll see tomorrow at the meeting of the association, during which will be unveiled the yield of the contract for 2009, how the current leaders of Afer respond to this request.