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Sunday Oct 30, 2011

In the first five days of strike by cabin crew of Air France, the situation was calm at Orly on Saturday morning. All flights were planned at this time despite the movement of flight attendants. "It is too early to detect potential problems at Orly knowing that the first flights take off at 7 o'clock," one source, however relativized airport shortly after 08h.

About the airport Roissy-Charles de Gaulle, the forecast was in line with those announced by Air France. The company plans to provide 80% of its flights but does not rule out last-minute cancellations. It struck ten long-haul flights planned Saturday morning, including flights to New York, Montreal, Los Angeles, Tokyo, Abu Dhabi, Douala.But the passengers had been warned on Friday.

Without an agreement this week with management on working conditions for cabin crew, six of seven unions called the stewards and stewardesses 15,000 to go on strike for the weekend of All Saints, usually very busy guaranteed payday loan. Traffic is expected until Wednesday, November 2 included. Air France admits that "considerable uncertainty remains about the level of participation of the cabin crew." These are not actually required to prevent the direction of their intentions.

In 2007, a similar strike – triggered by the same six unions to the same period of All Saints – had caused major disruptions. Air France was forced several times to review downward its traffic forecast: 90% of flights expected to be provided the day before, this had increased to 60% during the weekend.


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The display is struggling to make digital

Tuesday Oct 25, 2011

A consensus was quickly found, this weekend in Berlin, to issue in the campaign around the packaging of products Monoprix the thirty-eighth prize in outdoor, which annually recognizes the best advertising campaigns. Although already won several awards in national and international awards, the advertising posters designed by the agency Havas City have once again a hit.

Chaired by Mercedes Erra, Executive President of Euro RSCG Worldwide and co-founder of BETC Euro RSCG, the jury of this new edition has lamented the poor quality of the 217 campaigns submitted for its assessment. But to his credit tightening campaign stand out visually strong, with texts often licked, like the campaign Monoprix, inspired pop art was to "put beauty in the city," as pointed out by several jurors .Slogans like "No daily newspaper" or "milk it can be beautiful" had flourished in the streets in late 2009 to praise the demand for aesthetics of a distributor of consumer products.

Convened by the Union of outdoor advertising (UPE) and in the presence of the main display (JCDecaux, Clear Channel, CBS Outdoor and Insert), professional, creative and business, have this meeting every year to discuss progress outdoor advertising, which includes, in addition to traditional posters, all the displays events and new digital media.Mercedes Erra defended a political vision of the poster, "height of commercial art," she says, both "political" and "cry" as constitutive of the "declaration of a leadership brand."

3000 to 2012 screens

During their deliberations, jurors have widely reported the arrival of the digital display, which should change the ways of working paperless payday loans. None of the award-winning campaigns have used this new technique. The co-founder of the agency Herezie, Andrea Stillacci, regretted that there is not "sharing opportunities between advertising agencies, media agencies and displays, as there are already on the Web ".Digital billboards should represent only about 3,000 screens in 2012, a small percentage of the park, and focus on protected sites (airports, railway stations, subway, shopping centers).

The display, which accounted for 1.2 billion net revenue for the media in 2010 according to the IREP, is the third preferred advertising medium for advertisers, according to the press and television. All operators have plans in digital. But the conversion of all signs to digital is not for now. "2012 will be a year of starting," said Philippe Baudillon, CEO of Clear Channel France. The "business model" current display is not ready for such a switch, which requires huge investments and the total revision of the management of media plans of advertisers.The digital opens up for display, with campaigns more reactive, but new rules of creative play.

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TF1 is delighted audiences rugby

Tuesday Sep 27, 2011

The defeat of the France rugby team against New Zealand does not have a bitter taste for everyone. TF1, the broadcaster of the game, was pleased to display a record audience for a rugby match since 2007. Saturday morning, 7.8 million people watched the match on average, 65% audience share on the 4 and older. "The hearings are excellent. It should be noted that with 50% audience share on Women, the games attract beyond the traditional circle of sports fans, "said François Pellissier, athletic director at TF1. The crowd is even rise to 9 million viewers late in the game in hopes of a last burst of the Blues face the All Blacks.

Since the beginning of the competition, the team of France is mobilizing the masses. The first match between France and Japan gathered 5 million viewers and a week later France-Canada has attracted 7.6 million.Scores of rivers, these early morning hours on weekends, spray the audience share. Usually on Saturday morning, TF1 is a teleshopping program that fascinates 200,000 addicts. Even the traditional "Auto Moto" and "Téléfoot" on Sunday morning, only drain an average of 1.2 million and 1.8 million fans.

If matches are followed, the magazine presented by Denis Brogniart is also a ratings success. Before France and Japan, "World Cup, the Mag" was attended by 2.6 million people, after France and Canada, it reached 3 million. Small disappointment, "Mag" aired last Saturday of 10:00 to 10:30 has made a 1 pay day loans.7 million audience. Even fans give themselves a fat oval ball on Saturday morning!

Spot € 100,000

With France virtually guaranteed to play the quarterfinals, TF1 can breathe.The chain should at least remove some ten million euros in net advertising revenue (not including sponsorship) of this adventure even if France stops at the quarter-final stage. If the Blues are in the semifinals, the addition will reach 11 million and if they reach the final, TF1 should earn 12 million euros net, according to forecasts by Philippe Nouchi, director of media expertise for agencies Starcom and ZenithOptimedia. With France in the quarterfinals, the 30-second spot is expected to sell 84,000 euros, 90,000 euros semifinals and finals 100,000 euros. Without France, it will settle for 37,000 euros a spot in the semifinals and 43,000 euros in the final spot.

For TF1, the economic equation should not be too unfavorable. The group had bought the two editions (2007 and 2011) to 80 million euros.For competition in New Zealand, TF1 decided to sell some games to France Television and Canal + to 13 million euros. If the chain reaps a dozen million of advertising and it boosts average audience of September and October, the operation will be advantageous.

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By a vote of aid to Greece without enthusiasm

Wednesday Sep 7, 2011

The debate increasingly keen on tax loopholes, which confirms that in each there is a lobby ready to bark! – Would almost forget that the draft supplementary budget for consideration Tuesday in the National Assembly is primarily to validate the plan to support Greece, July 21 designed by the Heads of State and Government. Paris wanted to quickly translate into national law, to enable the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF) to be operational by the autumn.While some of our European neighbors dragging their feet, "France is the first country in the euro area to become involved in the adoption process", and was praised Tuesday the Minister of Economy, Baroin.

The votes of parliaments must give the green light to the Fund to make it more flexible: if the process goes smoothly, the EFSF will in future lead to a state pre-emptively "as a precaution", "finance the recapitalization of banks and financial institutions through loans to governments "and finally" intervene directly in the secondary markets sovereign debt, to avoid contagion and to fight against speculation. " The text extends the guarantees of states to these new missions.In the previous supplementary budget, the ceiling of France had been increased to 159 billion.

PS If the judge plan "inadequate" and abstain on the vote today, some members of the majority on Tuesday said they would adopt "without enthusiasm".

"Staying lucid"

Yves Bur (UMP, Bas-Rhin) in front of his colleagues wondered "if the answer to the crisis of the Greek debt does not come too late or if we do let's face at the failure of Greece to take its responsibilities ". He fears that this has a consequence: add to "a little more our own debt load."We must "stay lucid," warned the rapporteur of the Finance Committee, Gilles Carrez, which asked the vigilance of the "public debt that replaces private debt."

According to the scheme adopted by the countries of the euro area, loans made by the EFSF is a financial transaction with no effect on the deficit, public debt, it will increase the amount of guaranteed loans "as and when they pay "says the text. Remains to be hoped that the fears of investors about the ability of Greece to reform and to repay its debts do not materialize …

For now, Paris refuses to give in to defeatism. "We trust the Greek government to decline in terms of economy that is essential to condition the support they have, the Europeans and the International Monetary Fund," insisted Tuesday Baroin.Lucid on questions about the situation today, he also tried to reassure the state of the economy in Europe, "without denying that there are difficulties," the minister assured that the fundamentals were "good" and expressed confidence in the soundness of the banking model. In this context, "France is not threatened with recession," he said.

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The Cac 40 opens again on a positive note

Wednesday Aug 31, 2011

Since the beginning of the week, the Paris Stock Exchange began its session on a positive note from 0.62% to 3179.21 points, having closed at the balance Tuesday night. Like the Asian markets, the benchmark index of the Paris market is supported by the slight increase in U.S. markets, reassured by the Federal Reserve. Investors are indeed more and more convinced of the willingness yesterday by the U.S. central bank to act to restore growth.

In addition, the Atlantic, financial markets are close to their level of January 1, which could be an equilibrium point. Also an element of support for the Paris Bourse, even if it is far from that level (3847.63 points Jan. 3, 2011).

Chapter macroeconomic, investors will take 12 hours of knowledge in agricultural price indices in July.United States, the employment figures for August will be published in the early afternoon followed by the index of industrial activity in the Chicago area and industrial orders in July and stocks crude oil.

On the currency front, having been an upward trend since the beginning of the week, the euro fell slightly against the dollar on Wednesday after the announcement Tuesday in a poor indicator of the European economy weighed on the currency European. At about 8 am in Paris, the European currency was worth 1.4428 dollars against 1.4437 dollars late Tuesday.

Values ​​to follow

In a market with relatively low volumes since the beginning of the week is a new salvo of publication of results, broadly in line with expectations, that drives the third weekly session.

In particular Bouygues strongly supports the trend.After a brief suspsendu scoring the opening, the title of group jumped 10% to 25.40 euros. The conglomerate has finally published its results on Wednesday, not Tuesday reported on the acquisition of 11.7% of its shares for 1.25 billion euros, a 30% premium over the closing price of the security last night. In addition, the group published a half-year net profit down 27% to 391 million euros.

Similarly, Vivendi (4.17% to 16.85 euros) said it had doubled its half-year net profit to 2.5 billion euros, with a net gain of $ 1.2 billion related to the settlement of a dispute over the PTC shares in Poland.Its subsidiary, Canal +, 80% owned by Vivendi, reported first half sales of 2.39 billion euros, up 2.8% year on year, operating profit increasing by 1, 9% over this period payday loans lenders.

In turn, Carrefour is the sentence (-4.24% to 17.85 euros), after the group announced a net loss of 249 million euros in its first half. Above all, the group has revised downwards its forecasts, expects 15% drop in its earnings.

Last night, L'Oreal (-2.83% to 74.83 euros) has reported an increase in operating profit of only 2% to 1.70 billion euros in the first half.Its operating margin for its part fell 50 basis points to 16.8%, while analysts expected an increase, on average expected a figure of 17.5%.

Vinci (0.63% to 35.76 euros) for registration in the first half net profit up 15.7% year on year and raised its annual forecast.

Cac 40 off the healthy group Hermes (1.13% to 267.95 euros) is confirmed.The specialist luxury published net income up 49.5% to 290.9 million euros.

Bolloré (0.38% to 158.60 euros) saw its net profit grow by 29%, boosted by a gain from the sale of shares of the maker of seamless steel tubes Vallourec.

For its part, Havas (.98% to 2.779 euro) announced net income up 8% in the first half thanks to an improved operating margin.

Aéroports de Paris (-0.37% to 56.64 euros) it has slightly lowered its forecast for fiscal 2011.

Hi-media (-7.26 euros, 3.32 euros) back into the green in the first half, revealing a net profit of 5.1 million euros.

For its part, the oil reacts little to the continued rise in oil prices, and the strategic agreement signed between Rosneft and will explore together the Arctic and as such invest $ 3.2 billion.Technip s'ajduge 0.66% to 65.40 euros and total advance of a small 0.54%, to 33.34 euros.

For its part, Bourbon wins 0.84%, to 22.68 euros. The oil services specialist maritime published a group net profit halved in the first half, to 41 million euros, but put on a recovery in the offshore oil and gas. It also confirms the objectives of its 2011-2015 plan.

Note that Ruby, Mersen (ex-Carbone Lorraine), April, Lagardère, Outremer Telecom, Eiffage, Stef-TFE, Fleury Michon, Bongrain, GFI Informatique, Gameloft, Sopra, Virbac, Reculex, Mr. Bricolage and reveal their Guyenne et Gascogne half-year after the stock market.

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New rebound at the Paris Bourse

Thursday Jul 21, 2011

The 3700 points were in the viewfinder of investors in the Paris Stock Exchange on Wednesday. They were exceeded in the early exchanges. At the close, the CAC shows a new gain of 1.61% to 3754.60 points. Yesterday, the Paris VAIT has already managed to recover, ending on a rise of 1.21% to 3694 points.

Other major European markets advance in unison. The London Stock Exchange was also up, the stock exchanges of Madrid and Milan are the most active with gains of 3% each. In London, the FTSE-100 index gaining 1.1% to 5853.82 points in mid-session and featuring Dax index of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange advancing 0.40% to 7221.36 points.

Operators are encouraged by the good performance of U.S. markets, driven by advances in parliamentary negotiations in the United States for raising the ceiling on the debt.President Barack Obama for the first time reported "progress" in this debate, adding that the new Senate plan, presented Tuesday, was "consistent" in its approach. The Chairman stressed however that "not much time" before the deadline of August 2 to avoid a default. Wall Street was also reassured by good indicators of industrial performance and better than expected. Asian markets were also sending positive signals this morning.

Time, however, should still be prudent on the eve of a crucial European summit for the future of the euro area. The heads of state are to meet Thursday in Brussels to discuss the bailout of Greece. Several proposals for involving the private sector are on the table.

On the currency side, the euro rose slightly against the greenback at 1.4181 dollars against 1.4150 dollars late Tuesday.Oil is, him up: a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in August takes 80 cents to 98.30 dollars and that of Brent North Sea crude for September delivery gained 69 cents to 117.75 dollars .

Values ​​to follow

Havas: + 1.88% to 3.46 euros

The advertising group has announced the acquisition of a majority stake in the Australian Host, the first independent agency of the country, for an undisclosed sum.

Saffron: + 3.25% to 28.60 euros

Tuesday the group received the green light from Washington for the purchase of American specialist of biometrics L-1 Identity Solutions. The agreement was announced last September for $ 1.1 billion in cash.

Edenred: -5.14% to 20.49 euros

The company specializes in prepaid service said Wednesday he was informed of an investment for 8% of its capital.Nearly 18 million shares have been placed Edenred Wednesday market at a price of 20.30 euros, a total of around 367 million euros, according to a source familiar with the matter said that the placement was the act of a U.S. institutional.According to a source market, it is South Eastern Asset Management.

Alstom: -1.30% to 37.95 euros

The group said Wednesday sales down 12% in the first quarter of fiscal year 2011-2012, to 4.5 billion euros, reflecting the "low level of orders registered during the crisis," but a sharp rebound its order intake over the same period (+44%).

Schneider Electric: + 1.52% to 106.70 euros

The group announced an extension until August 2 of its friendly takeover of two billion dollars (1.4 billion euros) on the Spanish Telvent, which it already owns to 19 July, before the closing date of the offer, 97% of the shares.

Laurent-Perrier: -1.15% to 97.75 euros

The group announced Wednesday an increase of 11.5% of its turnover in the first quarter thanks to a mix effect prices soaring and exports still strong.

Accor: + 3.03% to 30.40 euros

The group was optimistic Tuesday in announcing an acceleration of organic growth in the second quarter due to increased occupancy rates and the gradual recovery of prices.

ADP: + 1.12% to 61.38 euros

The group announced a 4.6% increase in passenger traffic at its airports in June, driven by growth across all trajectories with the exception of Africa and the Middle East.

PPR: + 0.98% to 128.75 euros

Fnac, a subsidiary of luxury group, unveiled Tuesday a five-year strategic plan, called "Fnac 2015", which should enable it to boost sales after a disappointing performance.

EADS: + 3.30% to 24.72 euros

Boeing, seeking to rescue a potentially very large contract with American Airlines, has offered to install a new engine on the current 737, while the airline is still considering a generous offer to Airbus. Moreover, the French military shipbuilder DCNS said Wednesday negotiate with the German Atlas Electronik the creation of a joint venture between their respective activities of underwater weapons, confirming a report in Les Echos.Atlas Elektronik is owned by EADS and ThyssenKrupp.

Biomerieux: -1.44% to 78.46 euros

The group announced the acquisition of French company Argene Molecular Biology and confirmed the objective of growth of its business year after an increase of 3.5% of its turnover in the first half of 2011.

Sanofi-Aventis: + 1.14% to 55.06 euros

The Canadian Valeant Pharmaceuticals announced yesterday the signing of an agreement to buy the French laboratory marketing rights and distribution in Canada of a cream against osteoarthritis.

Manitou: + 1.03% to 21.65 euros

The group raised its forecast Tuesday for 2011 after signing up 45% of its turnover in the first half despite the continuing difficulties of supply.

Always on the side of publications, after market, Unibail-Rodamco will present its second quarter results and Ubisoft announce its first quarter 2011-2012 revenues.


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"We must reform the rating market"

Monday Jul 4, 2011

Alongside the giants Fitch, Moody's and Standard & Poor's, "small" credit rating agencies are somewhat more severe in their ratings of sovereign debt …

In fact, earlier this year, more than half of Canadian sovereign ratings by DBRS, and the Japanese JCR and Rating & Investment (the three "small" agencies enjoying a certain notoriety) are quite correlated, and appear on average equivalent to Fitch, Moody's and Standard & Poor's. Chinese Dagong, however, stands out, since at best one third of his notes are the same as those of Moody's, Fitch and S & P. These notes have several characteristics. First, the "ratings" assigned by Dagong the major emerging countries [Brazil, China, India, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, note] are significantly higher than those of Western agencies.Then, his notes to the major industrialized countries [North America, Europe and Japan] are much lower than those of Western agencies. In both cases, the differential of notes can reach four notches, which is considerable.

What credit can we give these agencies?

They have mainly local influence, at best regional. So even if DBRS has a good reputation, is most active in Canada and the United States. It is also accredited by the SEC [Securities and Exchange Commission, Constable of the U.S. markets]. But it suffers from a lack of notoriety outside of North America. As for JCR and Rating & Investment, these agencies have an influence on the Asian continent, but tend to "surnoter" Asian debt issuers. Both are accredited by the SEC. However, Dagong this accreditation was denied two years ago.The U.S. authorities have found it too especially in the political influence of Beijing. Since then, Dagong never ceases to publish reports critical of both the U.S. monetary and fiscal policy, that the action of three. In summary, Dagong tries to embody the alternative in the rating industry. It is aware that the financial difficulties of the United States and several European countries confirm their views. Still, recent events such as doubts about the sustainability of the euro area and the uncertainties about the ability of the United States to halt the spiral of debt due to give Dagong.

Some leading economists, such as Patrick Artus (Natixis), Dagong now estimate that better reflects the reality, particularly offended to see the 'big three' to keep a high rating for U.S. debt.What do you think?

I share the view of Patrick Artus on the fact that the ratings of several countries are excessively high. Fitch, Moody's and S & P "surnoté" Greece and many European countries because they have seen, wrongly, that membership in the euro area reduces the risk of insolvency overnight pay day loans… It was a mistake. States whose public debt has risen sharply over the past decade that have not reorganized their welfare state and have sufficiently reformed their pension system should be degraded. However, I also think that Dagong "surnote" some emerging, such as China, Russia and South Africa. In detail, the "overweight" on criteria such as economic growth and foreign exchange reserves, but neglects the indicators of political and institutional stability, not thinking enough in terms of debt sustainability.For industrialized countries recorded a triple and double "A" by Fitch, Moody's and S & P can afford debt levels higher than those of emerging markets, given the importance of the middle class, better social cohesion, and greater ease in accessing capital markets.

In a context of debt crisis, and after the disappointments of the "Big Three" during the crisis (widely criticized, especially for high marks stamped toxic financial products) these agencies for the time being heard by some markets , she can gain influence?

For four years, it's true that small agencies, few involved in these scandals, have the opportunity to hold their own in the game but break into the industry rating is very difficult because the three major agencies hold almost all (95%) market share.To me, small agencies have only two possible strategies: either they specialize in industry niches or geographic, or they differ in their diagnoses and notations, like Dagong.

Do we need more competition in the industry of the rating?

Yes, and again, the new entrants will be more positive than their ratings diverge from those of the 'big three'. This can particularly help reduce the effects of mimicry on the markets. But regulators must ensure, however, that increased competition does not lead to an inflation of ratings that may be confusing. In addition to competition, agencies must review their methodologies.In the future, agencies should lower the country notes that even in times of growth, are unable to reduce their deficits, as these states will be vulnerable in the first economic downturn. This type of care would include agencies to better anticipate the debt crises.

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Areva on track for a power plant in Finland

Saturday Jul 2, 2011

The catastrophe of Fukushima has not cooled the ardor "nuclear" in Finland. Three and a half months after the accident on several reactors in Japan, the electrician Fennovoima officially launched a tender to build a new plant, which will be the sixth of the country. Four are already operating, while the fifth, Olkiluoto 3, the site is controlled by the French group Areva, will enter service in 2012.

The same Japanese Areva and Toshiba are the two groups identified by Fennovoima to participate in the tender whose outcome is expected for 2012-2013. The dual French-Japanese technology will also be a clash between the pressurized water reactor, the EPR, proposed by the European company, while his opponent defends an Asian model for boiling water, the ABWR.Both show a roughly similar power.

It's been exactly one year that Finland has launched the process to build new nuclear generation capacity. In July 2010, two electricians, TVO and Fennovoima have been authorized by Parliament to build each plant bad credit pay day loans. Since then, Fennovoima has selected two sites to host this facility. Meanwhile, the group sifted through the different reactor technologies before choosing the respective models of Areva and Toshiba.

Three years late

For TVO, things are a little different. The tender for an additional reactor is not yet launched, but the first Finnish utility is already working with Areva as operate the Olkiluoto 3.Incidentally, the fact that Fennovoima has chosen to confront the French technology Toshiba shows that the Finnish authorities have not focused too much on the delay of the Olkiluoto site. This effect will be delivered in three years late, while the bill has almost doubled to 6 billion euros, against a budget of 3.5 billion initially.

But it must be said that the catastrophe of Fukushima had beneficial consequences for the EPR. Its high level of security has become a very significant advantage.


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Tip: the recovery is strengthening

Monday Jun 27, 2011

The management consulting sector confirms its forecast of market recovery and expects growth of between 5 and 7% of its business for 2011 (against 5% in 2010). Despite satisfactory order books and a volume of proposals being important, firms remain cautious. "The general feeling is that it is always an accident thank you for coming all macroeconomic challenge," says the industry trade association, Syntec Management Consulting, which has today its 2010 balance sheet and persoectives .This visibility results found at least by hiring a reboot, including profiles of graduates.

Who benefits most from this recovery? "It's the mid-sized firms that have the highest growth rate at 7.5%, the majors and large are in turn slightly behind, with growth of around 4.5% 5%, "says Syntec management consulting. Another finding, "the speakers operating on more strategic tasks or missions branches record the strongest growth."

What are the sectors most applicants for management consulting? Financial services grew and consolidated their lead with 30% of the total, followed by industry (23%) or administration (15%).As for the energy sector and the environment they are placed fourth with 11% of the missions.

As for the interventions, they relate primarily to the organizational consulting and change management (30% market share). "These services are carried by the restart of delays in 2009 and the new transformation projects," said Syntec. The consulting cost optimization continues to be well positioned with 17% of operator actions.

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Portugal prepares for new sacrifices

Friday Jun 3, 2011

Coincidence of timing. IMF-EU Troika-ECB chose the last week of the campaign to start in Lisbon's assessment mission. Whatever the outcome on Sunday of the early legislative, the next government already knows he will receive a very limited scope. Winner given according to recent polls, the opposition leader, Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD-center right), should apply as soon as possible the austerity program imposed by the troika, in exchange for an aid package of 78 billion euros.

Click image for larger graphic.


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