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Released in early 2010, a year and a half of recession caused by the bursting of the housing bubble, Spain could plunge into the red. Supported by the only engine of exports and tourism, the economy will suffer from the international slowdown. And domestic demand – consumption and investment – remains stalled, weighed down by record unemployment. Economists forecast a decline in activity over the next two quarters. For the full 2012, Natixis expects an increase of GDP, limited to 0.2%, even more severe, Bank of America Merrill Lynch expects a fall of 0.7%. Two days before the election, the government had to accept lower growth for 2011 at 0.8% against 1.3%, less than half that expected by Brussels in the euro area.

Occupation: the red lantern of Europe

This is the black point of the Spanish economy guaranteed online payday loans.Toxic assets that are concentrated in the "cajas" (savings banks).

Increased risk for public finances

Spain has embarked on the path of fiscal consolidation since 2009. The great austerity plan dating back to May 2010 combining lower wages of civil servants, cuts in social spending, increase tax and pension reform. After a budget deficit rising to 11.2% of GDP in 2009, the stated objective is to reduce it to 6% this year. It is not clear as far as Madrid to keep, given the downward revision of growth. On the front of the public debt, Madrid pre-crisis low, 40% of GDP. It has since risen sharply, it should peak around 72% in 2013 before declining.

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The U.S. stock markets have opened up slightly on Thursday. The Dow Jones ceded piointse 11495 0.08% and the Nasdaq 0.26% to 2597 points. The session should be again marked by rumors coming negotiations between the Europeans. This uncertainty should urge caution, especially as the latest results of companies from the United States are often disappointing and does not encourage optimism. Yesterday, Wall Street took a break.

Investors are in effect suspended the decisions that should be taken after the EU summit to be held this Sunday. Before this appointment crucial for the future of the euro area, policy-makers of the Old Continent has already promised that a solution to the crisis would be found.

Meanwhile, last minute negotiations are increasing.According to Reuters, citing a paper, "e European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF), will be able to buy bonds on the secondary market" if the countries in the euro area concerned so requests and obtain agreement European authorities.

Following the publication of this document, the euro hit a session high of 1.3838 against the dollar, the European stock markets have erased much of their losses and future on the major indexes on Wall Street resumed a little high. Expanding the powers of the EFSF and increasing its firepower at the heart of the plan for resolving the debt crisis in the euro area. The European Council of Sunday should be an opportunity to specify the details of how the EFSF will be used.

Wednesday, Nicolas Sarkozy traveled to Frankfurt to urgently resolve differences directly with France and Germany Angela Merkel.No information was available for this meeting. The Wall Street Journal, the discussions would focus on the possibility of allowing the EFSF to provide collateral to support bonds issued by countries in need rather than use it to provide direct guarantees.

The Beige Book calls for caution

On Wall Street, the report of conditions in the U.S. central bank (Beige Book) yesterday also a moment of caution.The information gathered by the regional branches of the Fed indicate that overall economic activity rose slightly in September but they also point out that corporate earnings have not improved payday advance.

Finally Moody's said Wednesday night that lowered the rating by one notch from five major Spanish banks, following its decision to degrade the sovereign rating of that country.

Chapter macroeconomic across the Atlantic, weekly claims for unemployment benefits will be published 16 hours as well as sales of existing homes in September and the composite indicator of the economy.Activity in the Philadelphia area in October, which often appears an early indication of economic conditions in the United States, will also be unveiled in 16 hours.

New salvo of results

A Wall Street investors dissect a new salvo of results.

After the close of Wall Street, American Express has released the third quarter earnings of $ 1.24 billion, a net income per share of $ 1.03 against $ 0.96 expected and $ 0.9 year past. The turnover stood at 7.57 billion dollars, according to estimates.

Ebay announced a profit of $ 491 million, or 37 cents a share in the third quarter, in line with expectations.The turnover amounted to 2.97 billion dollars against 2.91 billion expected.

Edwards Lifesciences has recorded a net profit of $ 51.6 million in the third quarter, against 48 million a year earlier.

Noble Corporation saw its net income nearly tripled in the third quarter to $ 135 million against 54 million last quarter.

Stryker has done for the third quarter, a turnover of $ 2 billion, up 14.9%, and earnings per share of $ 0.91, up 13.8%.

Wynn Resorts has achieved a net sales in the third quarter of $ 1.3 billion, against $ 1 billion last year.Adjusted net income totaled $ 133 million or $ 1.05 per share, against 49 million or $ 0.39 a year earlier.

On Thursday, Philip Morris International will release its figures before the opening of Wall Street and Microsoft after closing.

Fitch Ratings lowered the rating two notches from Spain, which now stands at "AA-". Spain held so far a "AA +", the fourth highest on a scale of twenty. More worryingly, the note is accompanied by a 'Negative' outlook, which means that the agency could lower it back to medium term.

Spanish growth at half mast

Moody's in turn should decide by the end of October on a possible downgrade Spanish now "Aa2" (the third best possible)."With significant funding needs" of the Spanish State, to cover its budget expenditures and net external debt is "one of the highest in the world" (91% of GDP), said Fitch, "the more volatile strong a negative effect on financing conditions in the market of Spain. "

But there are also internal factors in the country "risks to fiscal consolidation as a result of performance parts." The same agency Fitch has lowered Wednesday including the long-term rating of the Basque Country, one of the richest region in which it criticizes the "weak fiscal performance." Growth forecasts have been revised downwards. Wednesday, the Bank of Spain announced that the country's growth expected to slow in the third quarter, to reach an economic activity 'lackluster'.The Spanish government has also recognized that the economic growth targets it had set for 2011 and subsequent years would be "hard to reach" because of the risk of recession in the world.

Italian governance into question

Fitch also lowered the rating one notch to Italy, "A +" against "AA-" and does not see her again in the fall if the country would miss its targets for reducing the budget deficit. Fitch was the last of three major international rating agencies have not downgraded from Italy since the beginning of the debt crisis in the eurozone. She explained that the high level of public debt and budgetary financing needs, combined with the low level of potential growth (the country), made in Italy especially vulnerable.The Agency is challenging the country's governance and stressed that the differences in the Parliament and the escapades of the prime minister Silvio Berlusconi, help to weaken the ruling coalition.

Belgium heckled by Dexia

Belgium is also in sight. The agenceMoody's said it was considering lowering its rating, currently at "Aa1", the second best possible. The agency cited three reasons: the crisis in the euro area, concerns for economic growth and the possibility of additional support to the banking system, particularly in establishing Franco-Belgian Dexia.

Another European country in turmoil, Portugal, has been confirmed its rating of "BBB-" (the last before falling into the category of "speculative") by Fitch, which continued on negative watch at least until the end of the year.Standard & Poor's, confirmed Tuesday the rating "BBB-" from Portugal, while maintaining it as a negative outlook. Portugal, the third country in the eurozone after Greece and Ireland to receive international financial assistance, is facing new economic challenges that undermine his efforts to clean up its public accounts. Progress in implementing the program of the European Union and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and its budget for 2012 will be crucial.

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"3 billion for local

Vallourec disappoints investors. In a statement on the occasion of an investor day in Brazil, the Group revises down slightly its forecast for gross operating profit (EBITDA). "Considering the cautious attitude of distributors in markets outside energy due to economic uncertainty, the EBITDA of the second half of 2011 should be at a level similar to that of the first half of 2011," said the group was counting far on a GOP "slightly higher".

Intended as reassuring, Vallourec ensures that the environment is now positive for the energy markets it supplies.It provides always an increase in production output and turnover in the second half, compared to the first, as he had indicated at the end of July release of its first half results.

Good prospects ahead

For operators of the Paris Bourse, this caution does not reassure. To 11 hours, unscrewed from the Vallourec share price 4.30% to 42.09 euros in a market down 0.40%. Time reserved for the decline, the title was back in the fall of scoring more than 8% in early trade. "This is another disappointment confirming our negative scenario for action in the short term," said one trader faxless cash advance.

CM-CIC has also reduced its earnings forecast for the coming years. However, "after two years of transition in 2011 and 2012, the recovery results in 2013 will be very sensitive," the broker understands."Vallourec has shown that the evolution of its global business model will make the group more competitive and increase significantly its medium-term results."

This view is shared by the management of Vallourec, which considers that the negative impact of new projects, including the new steel mill and pipe mill in Brazil and the mill in the United States who will be commissioned in mid-2012, the Gross operation of 2012 should be reduced to about 60 to 80 million euros. The next year should also benefit from price increases implemented in 2011. The group should provide more detail on this last point when publishing its quarterly results on November 9.

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(Special Envoy to Florence)

The tax collectors, 1540, Marinus van Reymerswaele personal business card. (Florence, Museo Stibbert)

In the wake of European stock exchanges and the CAC 40, the U.S. markets aparaissent significantly in the red on Friday, amid disagreements with the ECB and debt crisis. At the close, the Nasdaq and Standard & Poors'500 100 respectively lost 2.67% to 1154.23 points and 2467.99 points to 2.42%. As for Dow Jones, falling 2.69% to 10,992.13 points. This is the biggest drop in Wall Street during the past three weeks.

Markets such as increased losses when Jürgen Stark, member of the Executive Board of the ECB, announced his resignation for "personal reasons", the statement of the institution. The chief economist of the institution has repeatedly expressed his opposition in recent weeks to buyback of government bonds led the ECB to ease the most fragile countries in the euro area.To this must be added the increasing fears of a major failure of Greece that have undermined investor sentiment. "The markets are falling heavily as the big concern is about the crisis of sovereign debt in Europe, especially in Greece," summarized Peter Cardillo, Rockwell Global Capital.

According to analysts, the drop is also due Friday the threat of attack ten years to the day after the attacks against the twin towers of World Trade Center. Washington said Friday morning that al Qaeda was behind the threat of attack "specific, credible but unconfirmed."

In addition, markets have shown little convinced by the stimulus of employment presented by Barack Obama on the eve of 447 billion.Operators are skeptical that the U.S. president to implement his program because of opposition from his Republican opponents that could block the vote.

Expectations related to the G7 Finance

To this must be added the words of Christine Lagarde, Executive Director of the IMF, stressed the urgent need for additional capital banks.So far, investors have also expressed no confidence in the discussions of the G7 finance that opened Friday in London to try to find an answer to the crisis.

Another item, from China, was not enough to appease both sides of the Atlantic: Inflation has indeed slowed in China in August, which removes the fear that Beijing tighten monetary policy .

On the macroeconomic front, wholesale inventories reached a record high in July, rising 0.8% to 462.4 billion dollars, an unprecedented amount, in line with market expectations.

As for the euro, it is at present weighed down by concerns about increasing the economic health of the euro area and the global economic recovery. At the close of the New York Stock Exchange, the European currency fell to 1.3658 dollar (-1.63%), its lowest level since Feb. 23.For its part, the oil has finished on a decline, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for October delivery ended at 87.24 dollars, down 1.81 dollars compared to the previous day.

Threats to jobs at Bank of America

On the corporate side, no major publication was in sight Friday.

The job cuts planned by the management of Bank of America (-3.05% to 6.980 dollars) as part of its restructuring plan could affect 40,000 people, said Friday the Wall Street Journal Online, citing sources familiar with the . The group identified on 30 June nearly 288,000 employees. So far, estimates of job losses were around 30,000, while many banks worldwide have announced significant staff reductions.These reductions would occur as part of an extensive research program savings called "Project LAC", the acronym by which exchanged the title of the institution to the New York Stock Exchange.

Texas Instruments (1.08% to 26.08 dollars) remains small increase, after a warning issued Thursday night on its third quarter results, citing a decline in demand for semiconductors. IT had already warned in July that the current quarter would be modest. The group emphasized that this time the request had deteriorated to "a wide range of products, markets." The manufacturer of components that go particularly in the manufacture of mobile phones and automotive electronics, said now anticipate earnings per share between 56 cents and 60 against a previous range stretching from 55 to 65 cents.

Crisis forces, maintaining half past two in Beijing Thursday at the Palace of the people, between Nicolas Sarkozy and his Chinese counterpart Hu Jintao has largely focused on economic issues. The objective of this whirlwind tour of the Pacific route to the French president, was to reassure the second largest economy in the world and world's leading investor in the resilience of Europe to the crisis of sovereign debt. "Hu is not worried about the situation in the euro area", despite the runaway budget deficits, said the head of the French state at the end of a working dinner. "He told us he had confidence in the euro (…)." "We are confident that Europe has the wisdom and ability to overcome current difficulties and maintain economic growth and stability.China will continue to make Europe a major investment markets, "for his part, Hu said.

In recent months, Beijing – which has 3,000 billion of reserves – was a major purchaser of European debt, particularly Greece, Portugal and Spain.

Identity of views

The visit was also an opportunity for Nicolas Sarkozy to reaffirm the importance of partnership with China, a few weeks G20 Cannes, chaired by France. Stressing "great convergence of views" between the two countries "on the assessment of the international situation," the Head of State stressed the importance of this summit, which is involved in the revival of global growth."This is a major issue and China has a key role," he said, accompanied by Minister of Finance, Baroin, came specifically to prepare the November summit.

For his part, Hu Jintao spoke of "great importance" to strengthen the dialogue between France and China "to the success of the summit in Cannes, for strengthening international economic cooperation and for the recovery and healthy development of economy ".

The two leaders also discussed the thorny question of the convertibility of the yuan.A subject on which Paris and Beijing "want to move forward," said Nicolas Sarkozy, but "without haste".

Finally, on Libya – Beijing was opposed to strikes from the coalition – the Chinese president said he "kindly analyze" the invitation of France to attend a conference of "Friends of Libya" that wishes organize the French president in Paris on 1 September.

GroupM was promised a destiny to Twitter and Foursquare. Like the latter, the start-up in New York was revealed at the conference Internet "South by Southwest," which was held in Texas in March. But barely a year after its creation, GroupM has already attracted the attention of the giants of the Internet and has just been bought by Skype for an estimated $ 80 million.

The operation allows the specialist to Internet telephony to build a niche in the amount of online communication: messages grouped. With services such as GroupM, users can create discussion groups on their mobile phone and communicate with others, forming "chatrooms" private SMS.In recent months, major Internet players have been enamored of such services, which range from communication, and coordination, like Facebook, which bought the Beluga service in March 2011, eight months after its creation. In addition, the social network launched mid-August, Facebook Messenger, a mobile instant messaging application.

For its part, Google has made this communication bundle a cornerstone of its community platform + Google launched in late June, with the "hangouts" spaces bundled instant messaging and video. Finally, as recently shown by the London riots, the BlackBerry is an actor to be reckoned with in this area, through its private courier BBM (BlackBerry Messenger). Now owns GroupM, Skype will better stand up to these types of communications fast cash without a hassle.

175 million monthly users of Skype

"Skype and GroupM have a common vision.GroupM's team has created a messaging experience incredibly attractive bundle that runs across the terminals and mobile platforms, making it a perfect complement in voice, video and text of the Skype family, "said Tony Bates, general manager of Skype, in a statement.

For Jared Hecht, co-founder Steve Martocci GroupM, "there is a natural affinity between Skype and GroupM.""Our goal is to continue to develop tools that allow people to easily communicate, share and keep in touch with their close relations and important," he said, arguing that integration with Skype would allow the start-up achieve its vision of "ten times faster."

The start-up is already looking forward to see the service offered to 175 million monthly users of Skype.

The acquisition of Skype by GroupM, which is the subject of discussion for several months, could also be beneficial to Microsoft. It announced the acquisition of Skype for $ 8.5 billion in May.While sentencing the operating system (OS) Windows Mobile Phone 7, the software giant could find with GroupM a valuable feature to include in its bid for smartphones.

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Sevran, in the heart of 93. A few minutes from the RER station, the turning of gray apartment blocks, a portal opens up a space unexpectedly. The cities of concrete give way to fields of vegetables. Under white sheets aligned along the center aisle, men working in pairs. Lamri Guenouche, Department Head of Biological Gardens Pont Blanc, politely greet the employees and ask everyone the ritual question: "What is the vegetable that you plant?" Silence and embarrassed laughter of the workers, who arrived three months ago . Lamri Guenouche patiently explains: "The squash has a round rod. If you touch it, it is square. So it's a cucumber. "

Workers in the gardens of insertion have mostly no specialization in horticulture. A plumber and a driver of construction equipment alongside housewives employed for the first time.One is illiterate, his colleague holder tray. All have experienced long periods of inactivity before being offered a contract to help Garden Organic White Bridge.

Since 1997, the Aurora Association, which manages the garden insertion allows job seekers to re-enter the workforce. On the small farm of just under 2 acres, twenty-eight employees work the land and produce baskets of organic vegetables, sold to members of neighboring communities. Five others are charged with the maintenance of green spaces of individuals or communities.

Lamri Guenouche that says receive "a lot of applications," insists: "There is no screening." If it be eligible for subsidized contracts, living in the Seine-Saint-Denis and exercise motivation.After meeting with the counselor of insertion and one week test, employees are hired for a renewable six-month contract, but the majority is one year. The association, which monitors employ as many men as women, has set its working hours (9:00 -15 hours) for the latter. At 24 hours per week, employees receive an insert 700 euros per month.

"A period of revitalization"

The department head of the Gardens, the passage of these squares in nature is primarily a "period of revitalization to rebuild both professionally and personally." For the duration of their contract, employees are monitored by an advisor of the association to define a professional project and resolve administrative problems. The association has also established literacy workshops, computer and assistance in finding employment.

"Work is a huge engine to put people off. It can solve personal problems and alleviate suffering, "said Sabine, one of the technical staff. Employees are réhabituent to get up early, to respect authority and to socialize. They are gaining more confidence while enhancing their CV says Lamri Guenouche. Itself is an agricultural engineer by training. Eight years ago, when he was manager in the retail department, he explains that he had "a click, seeing everything that is discarded as vegetables and fruits while others in need." Sickened by the mess, he chose to put his skills to a socially oriented structure incorporating a first insertion into the garden of Val-d'Oise. It manages one of Sevran since September 2010.Deficit, the association only removes Aurora 5-7% of its budget from the sale of her baskets of vegetables. 70% comes from state subsidies.

"The goal is to make gardeners'

Side of the field of radishes, Houria, 49, is working. For three months, the divorced mother through the department every morning to go to Sevran. This work, she felt and appreciated. After being secretary, maid or child care, she said, "comforted" to have found a stable and secure employment. "Even if a small salary, it is quiet." She marvels at the atmosphere between the workers: "Here, everyone does his job with a good heart," says she. "I've never seen that."

Digging, sowing, harvesting. Each employee was introduced to horticulture by training for six months. But "the goal is not to gardeners, said Lamri Guenouche.Ile-de-France, market gardening is not a provider of labor. "The association strives to enhance the skills that employees acquired before or during their experience at the Garden. They handled boxes, sorted vegetables, prepared baskets and can qualify for jobs in the handling or the fruit and vegetable sections of supermarkets. Few, those who are allowed a position of delivery driver.

If the garden does not miraculously grow jobs, the statistics remain good, welcomes Lamri Guenouche. At the end of their contract, from 30 to 40% of employees do find permanent part-time or fixed-term contracts greater than six months. Another third goes on with training or a new integration project. Finally, 60% of outputs are called "positive." Achieved.

Wall Street played the yoyo on Wednesday, a sign of great excitement. In early trade, the Dow edged up 0.09% at 11,878 points, but half an hour later, he lost 0.32% to 11,829 points. It finally closed on a small increase of 0.25% at 11,896 points. Nasdaq and S & P ending respectively on gains of 0.89% to 2693 points and 1260 points to 0.50%.

The day before, the Dow Jones had not been reassured by the vote of Congress, which has yet avoided a last-minute failure to pay the United States. The index feature New York had dropped 2.19%, still below 12,000 points."The U.S. indices have not even seen a technical rebound in the final hours of trading, as usual … Not since October 2008, the subprime crisis, to find such a sequence of declining U.S. indexes" analysts said Aurel BGC.

The threat rating agencies

In fact, the tension is not ready to fall in markets on both sides of the Atlantic. Despite the adoption by Congress of the Agreement on raising the national debt, the rating agencies maintain pressure on the world's largest economy. "The lowering of AAA to AA + rating from the U.S. would be a major shock for the world's largest economy, one that most creditors on the planet, says Stock Exchange on Barclays.Financing costs would increase the country, making more difficult the control of its huge debt. "

Moody's has already held that the agreement was manifestly inadequate and that the note of the United States could actually be lowered. The AAA highest possible rating currently assigned to the United States, is now accompanied by a negative outlook. Moody's is the second agency to assign a negative outlook on the triple A rating from the United States, according to Standard and Poor's on April 18. The third major rating agency, Fitch Ratings, maintains a stable outlook for now.

Another rating agency, but Chinese Dagong, has already lowered the credit rating of the United States after the vote of Congress, by passing from A + to A with a negative outlook.A decision that should be only for the time being very relative impact: the rating agency, in fact follows a methodology different from that of U.S. agencies Moody's, Fitch or Standard & Poor's. Unlike the three U.S. agencies that provide the United States sesame AAA Dagong does not in Washington this maximum score, and in November had lowered from AA to A +.

The ISM services disappoints

In this context, the macroeconomic agenda of the day, to say the least fleshed out, was watched closely, a sign of investor concerns about growth in the U.S..

At 14:15, the consulting firm HR ADP unveiled its traditional and highly anticipated monthly report on employment. Higher than the 100,000 new jobs expected by analysts, job creation in the U no fax pay day loan.S. private sector employment reached 114,000 in July.

In contrast, growth in the services sector in the United States recorded a surprise slowdown in July, according to the index of purchasing managers released Wednesday by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). ISM non-manufacturing index stood at 52.7 last month, falling to its lowest level since February 2010, after 53.3 in June. Analysts on average expected a 53.6 index.

Orders for the industry fell 0.8% in June in the United States, driven down by gloom in the transport sector, said Wednesday the Commerce Department. Economists on average had expected a decline a little less strong, 0.7%. Orders were up 0.6% in May

Oil prices have again fallen back sharply Wednesday in New York as the market worried about demand for crude in an economic environment deteriorates.On the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex), a barrel of "light sweet crude" for September delivery finished at 91.93 dollars, down 1.86 dollars compared to the previous day.

Concerns about U.S. energy demand were boosted by the expected increase in official reserves of oil in the week ended July 29.According to figures released by the U.S. Department of Energy (DoE), crude oil inventories rose as expected 1.0 million barrels, those of gasoline rose more than expected 1.7 million barrels against the 100,000 barrels estimated by analysts.

Half year results: Comcast did better than expected

On the corporate side, several large quarterly publications are expected throughout the day, which should, once will not hurt, however, be overshadowed by the acute problems of sovereign debt and economic downturn.

The publications program began as microeconomic 13 hours, with, among others, the results of the second quarter of Time Warner (-1.18% to 33.60 dollars).Net income displayed increased 13.5% to 638 million.

At that moment, were released the results of Comcast (0.18% to 22.77 dollars), who, with a net profit up 16% to $ 1.02 billion, is slightly better than expected.

Garmin (-2.03% to 30.89 dollars) announced quarterly earnings down due to a fall of 19% of sales of navigation systems for cars and mobile devices. Before the opening, title Garmin gave 14%.

It will however wait until 22 hours to find out the half-year figures of Activision Blizzard (1.11% to 11.82 dollars).

Beyond the semi-annual publications, Amag Phamaceuticals (11.19% to $ 16) received an unsolicited offer to buy back the private equity investment MSMB Capital Management, valuing the pharmaceuticals group around $ 381 million.The offer, $ 18 per share offers a premium of 25% over the closing price of Amag Phamaceuticals Tuesday at 14.39 dollars.