Business World |

For Goldman Sachs, which published its investigation on Friday morning, ten of the 91 tested banks will fail. That is to say it does not retain a sufficient level of equity in the event of deteriorating economic conditions.

The success rate would be 89%. According to the study of the American bank, the banks are based in Spain, Germany and Greece, which should raise the more capital, adding that the source of these funds should be half public and half private.

The newspaper El Pais reported in its edition today that part of the 18 Spanish savings banks failed the test of resistance.To believe the consensus reached by Reuters, in Spain, only seven banks have passed the exam, including the largest as Banco Santander, BBVA, Banco Popular, and the "Cajas".

That success expected for French banks

In France, banks found – BNP Paribas, Societe Generale, Credit Agricole and BPCE (Natixis) – should all pass. The analysts and Christine Lagarde have confidence.

Full house expected also for the United Kingdom, examined on HSBC, Barclays, Royal Bank of Scotland and Lloyds Banking Group. In Ireland, Bank of Ireland and Allied Arish Banks also would reach to get good results.Same as in Italy, with Intesa Sanpaolo, UniCredit and Banco Popolare including headlining.

In Germany, a handful of banks should be in a situation of failure, particularly those that are undergoing restructuring.

Failure: it will recapitalize

According to Goldman Sachs, European banks should raise an average total of 37.6 billion euros in fresh capital as a result of these stress tests, whose results are expected Friday at 6:00 p.m., after the close of European stock markets but in full session on Wall Street.

In search of capital, these banks 'risk' may first explore to their shareholders or to appeal to financial markets no fax payday advance. If this is not enough, she can turn to state aid at the national level.Finally, as a last resort, they can "take advantage" of the famous European support plan put in place at the European Union and the International Monetary Fund.

Confidence in the results, distrust Performances

With a success rate approaching that expected of the baccalaureate, the question is what will truly value the conclusions of these stress tests. Experts warn that it would be better to consider the assumptions made when simulating a situation worsened.

"The information currently circulating in banks suggest that the stress test favors disclosure of a satisfactory result compared to a real and solid technical verification," says Pierre-Antoine Dusoulier in a forum.

These data suggest that in fact the test cases would be fairly "light" in particular in the field of defaults on sovereign debt. Assumptions of the macroeconomic developments would also be applied "without knowing it for the moment the link established by the test between GDP growth, unemployment and inflation."

In addition, past forecasts on macroeconomic parameters were simply struck by the actual conditions. In spring 2008, the European Commission expected a growth of 1.7% in 2008 and 1.5% in 2009 for the euro area. Real growth was 0.45% in 2008 and -4.1% in 2009.

Pass the exam stress test is a bit like having your bachelor's degree with an overall average just over 10/20. This is not the best conditions for its future.

This is the most reassuring news announced by the U.S. authorities for more than two months. According to Coast Guard Admiral Thad Allen American to oversee cleanup operations in the Gulf of Mexico, BP should be able to contain 100% the gap in the well from which oil flows to by Monday. A new funnel, bigger than previous ones, is currently installed by the British oil.

This funnel, called "Top Hat Number 10", should recover up to 80,000 barrels of oil per day (12.7 million liters), against 25,000 now. The authorities are optimistic that based on their assessments, the well lost more than 60,000 barrels per day. The previous dome will be first removed. A large quantity of oil escape so well for 48 hours.But once the new funnel posed, the results will be immediate, promises Thad Allen.

Since April 20, the day of the explosion of the Deepwater Horizon platform off the coast of Louisiana, BP has increased its attempts to clogging, all unsuccessful.

No stop before August

BP was more cautious in its forecasts. Bob Dudley, responsible for managing the disaster, spoke of another scenario where difficulties in installing the new funnel could delay the time from Monday to Thursday.

But authorities are confident: "We have the climate we need," said Thad Allen. The admiral, however, required to calm the enthusiasm that followed the announcement. "I used the word 'contain' and not 'stop'," he commented.According to him, the well would not be closed as well as two-pass will not be completed free instant credit score. These wells, dug deep to inject cement and mud, should not be installed until mid-August. Once the leak stopped, the extensive cleaning and restoration of the ratings will continue.

Anadarko does not pay

On this last point, BP was again struck Friday denied Anadarko Petroleum. The company, which owns 25% of wells responsible for the spill, said she would not pay the $ 272 million that BP is asking her to cover their share of cleanup costs, according to U.S. law known pollution.

On June 18, the tension was raised a notch between the two partners lorsqu'Anadarko stated that the explosion of April 20 on the platform Deepwater Horizon, "was preventable and was a direct result of decisions and actions BP unthinking.

In another e-mail sent Friday, a spokesman for Anadarko, John Christiansen, however, felt that his group remained "committed to working in good faith with BP to reach a satisfactory resolution."

BP is now awaiting the response of Mitsui, which owns 10% of the wells. The British oil giant is claiming $ 112 million for cleanup costs.The company has not yet made its position.

ALSO READ:

Why BP is its own insurer

"BP continues to seek investors

"The spill has now reached the shores of Texas

"The oil companies have a point against Obama

Being supported to emergencies at the hospital, attend university, to renew his passport, family allowance … so many steps synonymous obstacle course, that the Government wants to simplify and facilitate.

While the government has launched a hundred administrative simplification over three years (on average, one per department per semester) Baroin, Budget Minister, this Monday morning the first survey on the quality of public services.Focused on the quality of reception, processing applications and claims, the barometer will be published regularly to report progress.

It reveals that only 52% of e users receive a response within fifteen working days, only 69% of them are facing the good service and supported, or that 78% of users benefit from a courteous welcome from the staff.

Even efforts to

The barometer, which is very concrete, also focuses on ten main concerns of the French. It appears that on the 13.4 million patients who visit emergency rooms each year, less than half (45%) are supported in less than two hours. Monitoring this indicator will be generalized to all emergency services by 2011.

During an attack, the average response time of police is thirteen minutes.The average period of repayment of a sheet of electronic care is 3.3 days. Taxes, 9 out of 10 requests for corrections are processed in less than a month. At the employment center, 9 out of 10 entries made within five days after the first contact. And for identity papers, 82.5% of applicants had their passports within two weeks. The goal is to reach 90% in 2011.

Side claims, the administration still has work to do. Only three service offers dedicated support and explicit claims, and when this device exists, it remains difficult to access once two.

With this in mind, the government will open an online e-claims accessible via mon.service-public.fr.This fall, the customs administration will be the first to open the service.

ALSO READ:

"The very active surgical services face closure

"France: 150 steps to save 10 billion

"Directors: A site" listening "to users

The 2010 winners of hospitals and clinics

lefigaro.fr / jdf.com – The announcement of the aid plan for the euro area has given way to a new period of pessimism. In this context, how you position yourself on the shares of the euro area?

Matthew Grouès – We are clearly overweight on European equities for the simple reason that we believe that growth prospects are not worst four months ago. The markets have overshadowed the recent economic statistics suggest, however, believe a sharp upturn in Europe in the second quarter.

For a month and a half, markets follow a path contrary to that they should follow since the last published indicators: the series of nine sessions up in mid-June was made with deceptive statistics, particularly retail sales and the U.S. real estate.Unlike the sharp drop in early June took place in spite of very good publications on the ISM manufacturing and job creation. But it is true that today it is mostly good statistics that go unnoticed. It's a classic situation in the tops of cycles, markets do not allow the bad news and low cycles, they close their eyes to the good news. The crisis of 2008 is still in the minds of investors.

So much so that markets fear a simultaneous "double dip" (recession followed by recovery and then a new relapse, Ed) and a return of inflation. What is unthinkable. This proves that markets are in crisis of confidence and they evolve in a logical flow sellers rather than a fundamental logic. And to overcome this crisis of confidence will take time.

But the crisis of confidence in the euro area it is not it paradoxically favor?

It is true that mistrust vis-a-vis the euro favorable to European companies. The decline of the euro offset the restrictions inherent in the plans rigor. All countries in the euro area will clearly not accommodated in the same boat. So, for those who have taken a severe restrictive measures such as Spain or Greece, the balance will be negative. But for others, the impact on growth will be close to zero. It seems that the markets have rediscovered that the euro is a currency like any other. It's a currency shared by several countries. This inevitably creates a certain fragility and justifies a risk premium.

So you are betting that the European companies will catch up on U.S. companies?

Absolutely.European companies have to suffer the restrictions imposed by states, compensated as I said the decline of the euro. In contrast, the U.S. will be doubly penalized: first, that says depreciation of the euro said dollar, so a handicap to competitiveness for U.S. companies. On the other hand, said that restrictive measures in Europe, said reduced demand from Europe.

It is true that the shares are not expensive in all markets, but if U.S. stocks were gaining 10% to 20% in the twelve or eighteen months, the increase should be between 20% and 30% for European equities. Europe contrary to what they say is absolutely no more defensive than the United States. The proof of this statistic: Since 1996, the EuroStoxx amplified movements of the S & P 500 twelve years in fourteen.And two years where the reverse happened, it was during changeovers cycle.

According to a study OpinionWay, 50% French do not have stock and have never held. Furthermore, 66% of them justify their choice by the risk profile of the action. In other words, they are afraid of losing money. What do you think?

I understand their weariness regarding the volatility of financial markets and they prefer to invest in money market products they do not risk losing money even if they do not relate. Incidentally, this is symptomatic of the mindset of investors. There is such excitement in the markets that investors prefer not to lose money rather than win. But they must understand that the only time they have an interest in shares, it is precisely when everyone else shuns.Focusing on the assessment that the actions have on others is not the best indicator.

Also, do not overestimate the impact of financial markets on the real economy, and thus justify the real evolution of financial markets. It is often said that markets anticipate a six to nine months ahead of the changing economy. But this is not always true. The evidence: In 2009, the savings came out much faster from the recession that markets had expected.

I know this may seem surprising but it is precisely now that they must invest in risky assets.In addition to actions, we are positive on the credit for the economic recovery remains favorable and the spacing recent spreads (spread between a corporate bond and government bond, Ed) be reversed.

Five months ago, you bet on an ACC 40-4600 points by the end of the year. This bet is it still relevant?

I think for this year will be a bit complicated. However, I would very surprised if it does not exceed 4000 points. The current level of ACC 40 is not consistent with the economic situation is relatively good: it would be justified if we knew another recession within one year, but I think absolutely not.

Macroeconomic reasoning to 12-18 months also clearly suggests that markets are highly appreciated.Whenever Will it materialize? Hard to say! The market movements often snap on a "spark" a good economic figures, redemptions of "shorts" (the investor buys back the shares it had sold short, Ed), publication of results, etc. . The question is what will this time that "spark" and when it will happen.

The Paris Bourse is expected to remain in the zone of turbulence through it since Tuesday. The CAC 40, after nine sessions of gains chained and won 10.5%, has now three sessions of decline, losing 4.8%. So since the beginning of the month, the benchmark index of the Paris took only 1.5% and rises to 3555 points.

Around 8:15 this Friday, the CAC 40 futures contracts still predicting an opening up about 0.3%, but the trend is weak.

In the same time, the euro appears stable at 1.2330 dollar after resuming colors Thursday as statistics mixed overseas sowed doubts about the strength of the recovery amércaine.

Overall, the atmosphere is tense markets. The Asian market on Friday morning, displays counters in the red. In France, unemployment had not risen so much since seven months.

The national accounts in the spotlight

In France, a quarter of an hour before the opening of trading, INSEE will release figures on national accounts in the country for the first quarter.

The United States, the third estimate of GDP is known to 14:30.

Pressure on prices in the telecoms

The portion of mobile technology fourth generation "LTE" should redistribute the cards in this highly competitive sector, but not enough to stem the pressure on the prices of telecom equipment, told Reuters the president of the Mobile Division Alcatel-Lucent, Wim Sweldens payday loan lenders.

GDF Suez, Total, EDF The gas rate increase of 4.7% from 1 July to 6.3 million customers in France said Thursday the Commission of Energy Regulation.

The EDF Group postpones decision to invest in an LNG terminal in Dunkirk (North), said Thursday a spokesman for the group. This terminal was supposed to compensate for some job losses related to the closure of the refinery from Total.

Computer services companies in the sector may react to quarterly results better than expected by Accenture announced Thursday evening. The group's net profit totaled $ 564 million (457 million euros), or $ 0.73 per share against 537 million ($ 0.68 per share) a year ago and $ 0.69 expected by Wall Street.

The French industrial group Alstom has unveiled Thursday at a U.S. plant turbines, especially for nuclear power generation, for which he has invested about 300 million dollars, according to a statement.

According to Le Figaro Latecoère the aerospace supplier will propose on Friday to its shareholders at a General Assembly, the free allocation of share purchase warrants (BSA) in 2012. It has thereby remove some 43 million euros.

This was both a first and a dress rehearsal. In six years of Socialist government, the unions had never called for a national strike in Spain José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero. But since the mobilization of officials Tuesday, the divorce between the executive and the two largest trade unions – Comisiones Obreras (CCOO) and CGU – is officially consummated.

Pressed by their bases, the unions had no choice but to break with Zapatero. That, of course, the single most dramatic deficit reduction plan that set fire to the powder: falling wages in the public service, 5% on average in the month of June, arouses indignation public employees. But the unions' own admission, is the absence of any consultation that infuriates most."We do not even ask for the withdrawal of the measure," says Julio Lacuerda, the Secretary General of the Federation of utilities UGT. The unions are aware that these decisions will be implemented. The austerity plan is required by markets, the European Union and … by the United States, including the president himself, Barack Obama, called Zapatero Payday advance low fee.

A war of figures

Therefore, the event serves as a test of officials for each game. The first testing their strength before calling, "if necessary", a general strike. The executive, for its part, gauge the discontent before announcing new measures unpopular. First, the reform of the labor market, to be unveiled June 16 Meanwhile, everyone engaged in a war of numbers.For unions, 75% of staff were on strike Tuesday. The government says they were only 11%.

Above all, workers' representatives refuse to be the only ones to pay. "Why do we keep our troops in Afghanistan? Why do we continue to offer 900 million euros in tax subsidies to the Catholic Church? "Interrogates Julio Lacuerda. While Zapatero announced the creation of a new tax on the rich and inspired by the French TFR. But according to his own statements, "99.99%" of the Spaniards should escape.

ALSO READ:

"Spain announces a new dose of austerity

»COMPUTER GRAPHICS – The European tour plans rigor

"Conforama woke up," says Le Figaro Thierry Guibert, head of Conforama, a subsidiary of PPR, whose CEO Francois-Henri Pinault announced the proposed sale. In the first quarter, sales rose 2.6%. "Taking into account closures, the rally reached 4%, our best performance for two and a half years," said Thierry Guibert, who said "satisfied" while relativizing. "The basis of comparison is favorable activity had decreased by 10% in early 2009. But our performance is strong since January. It is the result of the strategy put in place for eighteen months to address a deteriorating situation constantly. "

Conforama cons Ikea

Better yet, "the last six months, Conforama has regained market share in furniture.This is the first time in seven years, "says Thierry Guibert, who thinks she recovered some of its behind Ikea.

Since 2002, the distributor of household goods lost a point of market share per year. His image has deteriorated, customers have turned away from the sign. Ikea also pleased to Conforama its leading position in France in early 2009.

"I was worried about the economic health of Conforama, its level of supply and its attractiveness," admits Thierry Guibert, who took the reins in 2008. Engaged in a modernization plan, Conforama renovated its stores (181 to date in France) and launched a new concept that gives more space to the world of cooking and decorating. During deployment, it is already present in 12 stores and should be applied to 15 more this year. A design space will be in place this summer in 40 other outlets."From 1 July we will be increasing our offering around the tableware and cooking utensils," says Thierry Guibert, who hopes to have 15% of sales in the decorative end of 2013, against 10% now . However, Conforama could "reduce by-case its offer in small furniture, lounge and bathroom.

Location cleaned

Conforama is also preparing to launch a new brand called Confo Deco, with shops 500-700 m2 quick cash. Located in downtown or mall, they offer a wide range of products – including a significant part in its own brand – in six worlds (night, kitchen, bathroom …). The first store will open its doors in October in the shopping center La Part-Dieu in Lyon. A second is scheduled for early 2011 at the heart of Lille."We want a real concept that will strengthen both the proximity to our customers and our legitimacy in the decoration, hopes Thierry Guibert, who plans to open 3-5 Confo Home each year.

"The goal is to boost activity in an extremely volatile," said Thierry Guibert. In 2009, the decline in sales has not stopped Conforama improve its profitability, with operating income up 6%, with 77 million euros in savings and international relief. "This year, our goal is to significantly improve our profitability," said the chief executive Conforama. Owing mainly to sales growth. "We are in running order to beat the market without watering customers tariff discounts," says Thierry Guibert, who is without mention other signs, such as Goal, which break the price.

Especially as the activity outside France (27% of sales) should not negatively influence the results. After the closure of seven stores in Italy and the Iberian Peninsula, the situation has been cleaned and sales depart.

"Conforama has passed its turnaround," says Thierry Guibert, while acknowledging that "it is frustrating to hear some suggest that we make the bride more beautiful for better sell. Instead, I explain to my team that, regardless of the shareholder, Conforama should be pretty solid for redeployment and create value. "

ALSO READ:

"Good start to year for the activity of PPR

"Pinault plans to sell the Fnac and Conforama

"Ikea is diversifying into property development

The U.S. stock market lost ground on Friday, all won during the week, and highs from session to session were badly broken. The announcement, shortly after the opening of Wall Street, the SEC, Goldman Sachs, which continues to fraud "Subprime" has dampened global finance.The bank securities were unscrewed from 12.8% to 160.7 million.

The U.S. stock market watchdog, the SEC announced Friday it was suing the U.S. investment bank "fraud" on the sale of investment securities linked to subprime mortgages.

Goldman Sachs and one of its leaders, Fabrice Tourre, are accused of defrauding investors face while making "misleading statements and omitting material facts on certain financial products linked to subprime loans when the market U.S. housing prices began to collapse. "

In the end, the Dow Jones lost 1.13% at 11,019 points, after fielding a sixth straight session Thursday to increase, the Nasdaq drops 1.37% at 2481 points and the S & P 500 1.61% loose in 1192 points.The thresholds symbolic of the 11,000, 2,500 and 1,200 points respectively have been taken down.

Trust settles

Another bad news on the front of the statistics: the U.S. consumer confidence index calculated by the University of Michigan came out in strong decline, to 69.5 in April, the lowest since November last. Economists had forecast about 75, after the index registered 73.6 in March.

Moreover, housing starts in March hit their highest level since November 2008, to 626,000 units annually. The economists had expected 610,000.

Google view

Later publications of the day, Bank America ok fell more than 6% to U.S. $ 18.31 No fax pay day loan. The bank recorded a net profit of 2.83 billion dollars in the first quarter, or 28 cents per share.It is far better than had been expected by analysts.

General Electric has folded, he of 2.62%, to 18.99 dollars while the conglomerate reported net earnings were down 32% to $ 1.87 billion, or 21 cents per share. Again, it's better than expected.

Google announced Thursday after the close of U.S. markets have performed over the first three months of the year a net profit of 1.96 billion dollars, 6.06 dollars per share, against $ 1.42 billion (U.S. $ 4.49 per share) over the same period last year. In the first three months of the year its sales climbed 23%. The securities have stalled, however, of 7.59%, to 551.76 dollars.

A cons-sense, Mattel manages to rise from 0.38% to 23.84 dollars.The world's leading toy has unveiled a profit of 7 cents per share, or 25 million over the first three months of the year.

In addition, the Financial Times, real estate investment fund Whitehall Street International managed by U.S. bank Goldman Sachs has lost almost all its value, or 1.8 billion dollars (1.3 billion euros) .

On Wednesday, the Wall Street Journal revealed that another major U.S. bank Morgan Stanley had lost 5.4 billion dollars (3.95 billion euros) in investment properties, including the headquarters of the European Central Bank Germany.

Always on the side of values, yesterday, UPS, considered a good barometer of economic activity in the United States, announced a sharp rise in profits.

A waste of time, those ten minutes than most workers agree over a cup of coffee? Far from it, if we believe the results of a study conducted by the institutes and LH2 Market Vision on behalf of the professional division of Nespresso. We learn especially that beyond the relaxation that is the coffee break (for 88% of respondents), it is also a powerful tool for enhancing cohesion within a team (after 75% of respondents) and even the best way to ease tensions (cited by 65% of people). The human resources officials themselves acknowledge (79%) that this pause creates a nice moment to limit tension within a team.

It does not take more to make the study of a small black management tool "stealth".This time informal, relaxed and pleasant would more easily establish dialogue and reach consensus on better terms. As employees, they are 81% think that time is essential to keep a clear mind and leave more effectively to its work. Without awaiting the results of this study, some companies have chosen to treat their particular cafeteria into a vital forum for the exchange. Meeting-place for employees of services and different hierarchical levels, the coffee would find that we did not try. Many innovations are born and following discussions between employees who do not encounter in everyday life but find themselves over coffee.

The only fly in this almost idyllic picture, the human resource managers are significantly less convinced that the employees must side of espresso in the morning as a tool for human resource management. Thus, only 11% of managers believe that the time coffee is essential to convey messages, while employees are three times more likely to be in complete agreement with this notion. Nespresso, which hopes to increase its presence in the business with his occupation, in many rely on this argument.

We also learn in this study that are on average 3 coffees are consumed each day in the workplace. For 77% of employees it is a ritual, without surprise morning coffee wins the most votes (44%) to those who follow the lunch break (40%) and the afternoon (23 %).