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Released in early 2010, a year and a half of recession caused by the bursting of the housing bubble, Spain could plunge into the red. Supported by the only engine of exports and tourism, the economy will suffer from the international slowdown. And domestic demand – consumption and investment – remains stalled, weighed down by record unemployment. Economists forecast a decline in activity over the next two quarters. For the full 2012, Natixis expects an increase of GDP, limited to 0.2%, even more severe, Bank of America Merrill Lynch expects a fall of 0.7%. Two days before the election, the government had to accept lower growth for 2011 at 0.8% against 1.3%, less than half that expected by Brussels in the euro area.

Occupation: the red lantern of Europe

This is the black point of the Spanish economy guaranteed online payday loans.Toxic assets that are concentrated in the "cajas" (savings banks).

Increased risk for public finances

Spain has embarked on the path of fiscal consolidation since 2009. The great austerity plan dating back to May 2010 combining lower wages of civil servants, cuts in social spending, increase tax and pension reform. After a budget deficit rising to 11.2% of GDP in 2009, the stated objective is to reduce it to 6% this year. It is not clear as far as Madrid to keep, given the downward revision of growth. On the front of the public debt, Madrid pre-crisis low, 40% of GDP. It has since risen sharply, it should peak around 72% in 2013 before declining.

One of the smartest ways in which you can search for low priced insurance covers for your vehicle is through online aggregator sites or independent sites for car insurance. In other words, the Internet is the best avenue for cheap price car insurance quotes.

By organizing a eG8 the eve of the G8 in Deauville last May, Nicolas Sarkozy has brought the Internet for the first time, among the concerns of leaders. In line with their statement. Now we must find the tools for an Internet "free, open to all." To do this, Eric Besson, Minister of Industry, Energy and Digital Economy, today organized a seminar in Paris bringing together 13 Ministers of the Intergovernmental digital from around the world.

Innovation and Networks, protection of privacy, digital divide, security against cyber attacks are on the agenda of the conference New World 2.0. However, "there will be no statement after the conference, because there is already the declaration of Deauville, Le Figaro said Eric Besson. I wanted to spend New World 2.0 principles into action. It is time to materialize. "

Participants include, among others, Elliot Schrage, head of public policy for Facebook, David Drummond, Senior Vice President in charge of development of Google and Stéphane Richard, CEO of France Telecom, and Neelie Kroes, Vice President of the European Commission , in charge of the digital agenda. "This is progress as concretely as possible. These are issues that must be discussed together. New World 2.0 will bring together participants from 18 countries from five continents and all walks of life: ministers, large companies, startups, bloggers, venture capitalists, civil society, "explains Eric Besson cashadvance.

Value of content

The question remains networks at the heart of the debate. "There would not have the current development of the Internet without investing heavily in networks. In addition, we are only at the beginning of the increased use of networks.This raises the question of standards, quality of networks and investments, "says the minister. Before continuing, "On networks, we also work with the Americans. We do not want to trap them. What is the value of networks that are circulating over the contents. Our goal is to involve all major players. Thus we are able to be in the same round table number 2 on Google and the boss of France Telecom. "

If no resolution is produced at the end of this seminar, we must also rely on the goodwill of the United States, who will take over the presidency of the G8, to wedge the next go digital . "The event was to bring Internet to the agenda of the G8. And the highlight today is to bring together so many Internet stakeholders to implement together the principles of Deauville, "said Eric Besson.

The major index futures on Wall Street, announce an opening slightly lower on the NYSE. After four sessions of strong gains in a row investors should reap a share of their earnings per caution. Attention should be reinforced by several major deadline ahead.

Vote at high risk in Slovakia

Investors in the U.S. and Europe will continue to follow step by step développementsde the debt crisis in the eurozone. The latter is suspended by a vote very uncertain of the Slovak Parliament on Tuesday that could block the strengthening of the Financial Assistance Fund of the monetary union, the main instrument to hope to stop the contagion of the debt crisis, banks in particular.Investors also await the release later in the day of the minutes of the Fed and the announcement of Alcoa, the first tenor of the coast to announce its figures for the third quarter. The euro area, which has so far failed to stem the debt crisis, has the "political will" to overcome, reiterated on Tuesday German Chancellor Angela Merkel during a visit to Vietnam. Jean Claude Trichet, the outgoing president of the ECB, for his part said that "clear decisions" were necessary in view of the seriousness of the situation. He said the crisis has reached a "systemic dimension."

Berlin and Paris reassure markets

The willingness of the Franco-German recapitalize the banks and out of the spiral of debt crisis, like in Europe, supported investor sentiment for several days.Monday, U.S. President Barack Obama gave his full support "to the strategy of Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel." The latter, meeting in Berlin on Sunday pledged to respond "lasting and comprehensive peace" to the crisis in the euro area for the G20 summit in Cannes, 3 and 4 November. About the difficulties of the European banking sector, the two leaders said they were "determined to do whatever it takes to ensure the recapitalization of our banks." Again, the "details" will be specified later, they promised, while the EU summit scheduled for October 17 and 18 was postponed to October 23 to allow more time for officers to prepare a response "global" . Investors will pay particular attention to responses to the Greek question, the epicenter of the crisis.The leading European finance ministers, Jean-Claude Juncker, said yesterday that a discount of over 60% for creditors of Greece was possible.

First dance of Quarterly Results

In the U.S., the season of quarterly results of large companies to begin on Tuesday after the close of Wall Street. As usual, the aluminum giant Alcoa will kick-off for these publications. Follow in particular, PepsiCo Wednesday, Thursday, JPMorgan Chase and internet group Google and finally, Friday, Mattel. Analysts bet on an average increase of 13% earnings per share for the third quarter.

On the macroeconomic front U.S. investors await including the minutes of the last Fed meeting on Tuesday in 20 hours.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro is trying to go against the greenback.By late morning, the euro bought 1.3602 dollars against 1.3645 dollars late Monday. Oil is, him stable. The barrel of "light sweet crude" for November delivery gained 18 cents to 85.59 dollars. A barrel of Brent North Sea crude for November delivery gave a small 14 cents to 108.81 dollars.

Great success for the iPhone 4S

The side of values, Goldman Sachs should probably record a loss in the third quarter, which would be only the second quarterly loss in history of the giant Wall Street analysts expect Citigroup.

Apple announced its iPhone 4S has received one million pre-orders in the space of a day.By comparison, 600,000 pre-orders were recorded for the iPhone 4 in the first 24 hours.

Research in Motion announced Tuesday that its BlackBerry email and instant messaging were restored in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, nearly 20 hours after the crash reported in India and the region.

American Airlines announced a reduction in flights in coming months compared to the previous year, citing among other adverse economic conditions. American Airlines said its capacity during "the late fall and winter" would be reduced by 3% over the previous year.

The title of the group that Alcoa is required to publish its quarterly results after the market will be particularly surrounded.

Euro countries, including France and Germany, rejected the Euro Summit in Brussels originally scheduled for October 18 to October 23. This is to give a little more time to the development of the answer "global" announced this weekend in Berlin by Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel. "This new date will allow us to finalize a comprehensive strategy for the debt crisis in the euro area," said Herman Van Rompuy, the President of the European Union.

'Global response'

In Berlin, Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel had foreshadowed the shift by promising "sustainable solutions, comprehensive and fast before the end of the month."They also kept to define the contours, which allows to believe that the agreement is to be locked at seventeen if not two, on the key points: the recapitalization of banks and the role of the European stabilization financial, finding economically viable treatment for Greece and modification of European treaties in order to strengthen collective discipline pay day loan lenders.

Europeans to revise their copy, just three months after concocted, July 21, a plan intended to resolve the crisis in Greece and curb its spread to Italy or Spain. It has not yet been adopted by all Seventeen. The vote of Slovakia, with a coalition divided on the subject may become paralyzing veto and the euro area.

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The contract whopping 42.6 million euros a year signed between the French Football Federation (FFF) and Nike Will it deflate like an old windbag? Girls Team France soccer unwittingly gave a good penknife into the balloon in qualifying, against all odds, for the 2012 Olympic Games.

Background: In 2008, The Christmas Graët, then vice-president of the FFF, signs the "Contract of the Century" with Nike: 320 million for the period 2011-2018. This negotiation will be the argument of his election as president. At that price, the Graët sells equipment for national teams.And bang, that the France team that female become pampered football in France, makes his way to the London Games guaranteed high risk personal loans.

Problem: all the French Olympic teams – football, basketball, athletics – must participate in the Olympic Games under the banner of Adidas, the equipment of the National Olympic Committee of French sport (CNOSF). This did not escape the law of Nike, which, according to RMC, call … € 10 million for breach of contract! The CNOSF, attacked on his prerogatives and paid by Adidas, will not compromise. Nike either. One of two things: either the new president of the FFF "sold" which does not belong to him or he had bet on the failure of the Blue qualifications.Charles Gautier

Canal +, Verallia, Lucien Barrière, Groupama and may soon Groupon Facebook … Months pass, and delayed plans to introduce as … Since the beginning of the year, stock markets have surpassed the dismal 2008 record of the number of IPOs interrupted, postponed or simply canceled. According to Dealogic, as of 1 January, 215 companies all markets (one more than the previous record of 2008) and have temporarily waived or not to stock their projects. The valuation of these suspended projects is estimated at 44.1 billion dollars.

As many failures as successes

Finally, with 224 new listed companies, plans IPO in 2011 materialized just above groups who backed down … Reveals a situation very unfavorable market conditions for the candidates to the adventure market."A successful introduction requires both companies which want to move in the markets and investors willing to commit, explains Philippe Kubis, capital markets partner at PwC. If the materials are there, the latter remain far behind, in a context of uncertainty in the business plan of candidates for introduction. In addition, operations are often arrested in very early stage, which means more delays than cancellations of projects. "

On June 20, the materials group Saint-Gobain Building and renounced to introduce an immediate business of bottles and jars, Verallia. Two months later, the CEO of Wendel (Wendel largest shareholder) welcomed the decision, finding that ca "was not a good start to the stock market history."Alongside 59 other companies had suspended their plans after the official launch of the operation, Verallia escaped the summer meltdown of financial markets, which saw the CAC 40 lost 18% between late June and early September. "The very low current valuations are not conducive to achieving the project, adds Philippe Kubis. The adequacy of the valuation of a company with market conditions at a given time is a key to the success of an operation. However, companies do not want an introduction to the discount. "

Market volatility, however, is not solely responsible. In September 2010, the hotel group Accor has sought to withdraw from the group of Casinos Lucien Barriere, via an initial public offering, and market conditions much more calm.No more successful for this group suffered from poor stock market performance of its competitor Partouche, and especially of a development strategy too unconvincing to raise funds expected.

Tell a story

A successful introduction presupposes an attractive project for sale to investors (a "story to tell," according to experts). From this point of view, some candidates still have a stock speech ambiguity, or an economic model that have not been sufficiently proven.

Best example: the site group purchasing U.S. Groupon. The group was founded by Andrew Mason enthusiastic market for two years by the brilliance of its growth. What to think about a possible introduction free credit score. But the news could cool investors.The site, which is a valuation of $ 20 billion, would be delayed by several months its plans stock, following the refusal by the federal authorities of certain elements of his record. The group took many liberties with the accounting to embellish his figures, making it the most beautiful bride. The kind of hocus-pocus that would certainly not digested the market if the group had been rated! Especially since Groupon continues to widen its losses under the weight of investment in advertising and marketing commitment to support its growth.

In terms of social networks, some uncertainty still exists about how to value companies. "The valuations given for these sites seem important in light of an economic model that looks a little, says Philippe Kubis.It seems to move towards a model including user fees, which ultimately enhance the strength of their profile, and investor interest. "

Constraints rating

A case which also the developer of video games on social networks Zynga. Again, the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) had requested more information on the group's activities. What backward one month (November) the first steps in Zynga Stock Exchange. Even Facebook, social networking superstar, endless hesitation. Its founder Marck Zuckerberg, fear of such an operation a shift in focus of its product development teams to financial performance. From this point of view, the market performance of its professional counterpart, LinkedIn tends to reinforce his caution.Despite a triumphant introduction to the New York Stock Exchange last May, the group rating today in its opening price.

For SMEs, the fund raising smaller first appear easier. Following the example of specialist endomicroscopy Mauna Kea, which easily lifted in early July about 50 million euros on the Paris. Innovative technology, and markets more stable: the stage was set to attract investors. But since then, the small company founded in 2000 has not escaped the stock market panic. After being flown by 43% during the first two trading days (a common occurrence during IPOs), the title of the listed company has 13% below its price of admission.

Mauna Kea in its IPO price

For SMEs, the fund raising smaller first appear easier.Following the example of specialist endomicroscopy Mauna Kea, which easily lifted in early July about 50 million euros on the Paris. Innovative technology, and markets more stable: the stage was set to attract investors. But since then, the small company founded in 2000 has not escaped the stock market panic. After being flown by 43% during the first two trading days (a common occurrence during IPOs), the title of the listed company has 13% below its price of admission.

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The Unedic Thursday sharply revised its financial projections and employment for 2011 and 2012 following the economic downturn. And the results are anything but good. While the unemployment insurance system in late May included a slight increase in unemployment this year (12,000), it is now estimated that 144,100 more job seekers through the doors of employment center in 2011.

A variation in the end, more than 130,000 people! Worse, for next year, the decline was announced before the 91,000 unemployed in 2012 should eventually turn up … 123,100. Or, this time, a delta of close to 215,000 job seekers.

Job creation in 2012 will also suffer from the slowdown by 2013.According to projections by Unedic, they will simply be divided by 2.5, to stabilize below 70 000 in late 2012.

13 billion euros of accumulated deficit late 2012

The effect on the finances of the unemployment insurance system is important easy to get unsecured personal loans. The deficit for 2011 is expected to increase to 500 million euros, 2.5 billion tangent again. And over 272 million anticipated four months ago for 2012 will turn into hole of nearly $ 1.8 billion. Result, the deficit which was initially just exceed 10 billion by 2012, also off again on the rise and be around at the end of next year, the $ 13 billion.

"These poor results do not Unedic in a dire financial situation, however, reassured the president, Gaby Bonnand. We have the means to meet our commitments and pay allowances.We just need to remain vigilant because it will be difficult to borrow in the markets, given the situation worse. "

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The salvation of the euro area could come from China. Forced to borrow at prohibitive rates Monday morning, Rome had in fact asked Beijing to make significant repurchases of its sovereign debt, reports the Financial Times. A member of the Italian government confirmed on Monday the existence of discussions with the Middle Kingdom on potential investments in Beijing in the third largest economy in the euro area. The latter emphasizes, however, that the purchase of debt as of the Italian state was not central to the negotiations which took place several weeks ago, the agency Bloomberg.

The Financial Times for its part indicated that Lou Jiwei, the chairman of China Investment Corp (CIC), accompanied by a delegation, arrived in Rome last week to meet with Finance Minister Giulio Tremonti, and officials the Cassa despositi e Prestiti.

Relief markets

In any case, the information had an immediate impact on equity markets and bonds. The news triggered a rapid rise of U.S. indexes, which ended the session up when they were, like all European markets, a sharp decline shortly before the information.L all the indices of world is indeed suspended at the least information related to the status of sovereign debt in the euro area. In fact, the fear of contagion shook the Greek market.

In addition, the bond market has also relaxed.Good news for countries forced to place their debt securities, especially Italy. Interest rates have soared Monday in an issuance of public debt in Italy. Rome has indeed placed a total of 11.5 billion euros of shares, including 7.5 billion of bonds a year at a rate of 4.153% against 2.959% in the previous similar exercise conducted on August 10.

Foreign exchange markets also reacted. The information has strengthened the euro, trading at 1.3678 dollar this morning.

China has pledged to support the euro area

The assumption of support from China bound for the euro area is particularly taken seriously by the markets as the Central Bank of China recently said it was ready to support countries in difficulty to repay their debt.

Moreover, China has already come to the rescue of countries in the euro area in difficulties in recent months.In late May, Beijing had expressed its intention to purchase debt securities issued by the European Stability for Portugal. In January, China had purchased European titles for bail Ireland. And from the beginning of the crisis, China had come to the aid of Europe's sick of his debts. Earlier this year, the country had bought the Spanish government bonds for a hundred million. The Middle Kingdom is also committed to acquire Greek bonds

By helping the EU now, China is diversifying its investments in debt securities. In addition, the country is gaining leeway in future negotiations.

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LE FIGARO. – Economic activity appears to be a brake brutal. How do you explain it?

Laurence Parisot. – The slowdown is due to meet two sets of causes: the United States, an economic and political situation that was deteriorating, and in Europe, the States that crossed the red line in terms of debt. Once you overcome these difficulties, we find a strong growth and job creation but do not mistake in the analysis of what we experienced this summer. The situation was tense when China began to lecture the U.S. on their debt. The Americans probably wanted then iron the mistigri to Europe. There has been a kind of psychological warfare and an attempt to destabilize the euro area. The markets have overreacted, being by nature very sensitive to rumors, even organized.The moral of the story is that we should not be naive and fall for the autodisqualification: if Europe were attacked, not because it is weak but because it is strong, and if it is envy, because it is enviable.

Who was behind this conspiracy?

I call it an "orchestration" overseas challenges of Europe. See the rumors about the French banks, which were released immediately when they were absolutely unfounded. Our banks are among the strongest in the world. Some of the U.S. media yet announced the death of a particular and even the end of the euro area.We went from attacks on Spain in attacks on Italy and then France, until rumors of degradation of Germany last week! When American publications widely read by investors and financial analysts on false ads headlined drama, questions arise.

The accumulation of debts of the States, however, is a reality …

Certainly. The debts are no longer tenable. They must be absorbed quickly. As shown by the measures taken last week, the government was quick to hear the warning.

You are therefore in favor of the gold back to a balanced budget?

The principle of the golden rule would consolidate the reputation of our country and facilitate the work of any government.Many countries are engaged in it, it would be strange that we're not able to do French.

Ten billion of additional levies for a billion expenditure savings, is this the best way to fight against the deficit?

We had to quickly adjust the situation, the government has. But you are right, this is not enough, and the state must also accelerate the decline in spending. Ideally, a ratio of 1 to 2: twice as many savings on expenses for upward social and fiscal revenues. Measures such as pension reform and the non-replacement of an official two-point in this direction.Going further will require further structural reforms: focus on local communities and to decline the RGPP; work as health, including public hospitals (why does bill over to the insurance sector private for the same benefits?), and finally develop across the public-private partnerships and public service delegations. These channels have the immense advantage of not touching our social model.

François Fillon he had the "SME attitude" that you keep advocating in his anti-deficit plan?

It has indeed been attentive to small businesses but we must do more. Among the SOHO-SME-ETI today are the CAC 40 companies in 2030: they must get the best possible environment in order to grow.That's why we call for an extensive program to délégiférer and deregulate the legal system that encircles the neck to the small and medium enterprises. It should also reduce their taxes. It is shocking that the corporate tax (IS) actually paid by the SOHO-SME is (relative to the operating surplus) of about 39% against 19% for large companies. Among other reasons, the latter deduced from their result the interest on loans, while the SOHO-SME do not because of their reduced ability to borrow free 3-in-1 credit report. That's double trouble! There is also a reduced rate of corporation tax (15%) for companies whose turnover does not exceed 7.6 million euros. Medef request that the ceiling be raised to 10 million.

Sixteen top managers were willing last week to be taxed more.Do you agree with the exceptional tax on high incomes will be instituted?

We see very high incomes in athletes, actors, professionals: it is not an issue specific to some entrepreneurs. I understand the principle of a special tax to a special moment, but the tree should not hide the forest and make us forget the need for moderation in executive compensation. Also, do not confuse everything. There would be demagoguery to compare the incomparable and put in the same bag annual revenues of 250 000 euros and 2.5 million.Let us ensure that future developments of the threshold does not affect the middle class, including the upper middle classes, which are the engine of the economy.

The inclusion of overtime in the calculation of reduced charges on low wages is not likely does not increase the cost of labor and destroy low-skilled jobs?

There are of course in this action plan that we like less than others. We also deplore the passage of the social package 6 to 8%: it penalizes the profit-sharing that we want to encourage. But all part of a clear logic of debt and that, we salute.

Are you concerned about the evolution of unemployment in the coming months?

We can stop the recent deterioration. Understanding that in TPE-PME is the greatest employment potential and the fostering.Working on better employability of job seekers, integrating strong mutations trades, adapting in real time training.

The precarious employment with the proliferation of part-time, Temporary … How about it?

As part of the agreement on unemployment insurance signed earlier this year, we will create with the unions a working group on the evolution of modes of compensation. We have also provided a social debate on the labor market. I want to bring these reflections to improve the overall employment-unemployment-training. The procedures surrounding the employment contract must further progress: as such, they are blocked by their length and excessive legalism. Fear of hiring is the biggest problem for companies.Should be conducted with the collective labor disruptions that have been done with individual outs. We do not say enough that breaking conventional setup for the first time in France "flexicurity" and everyone wins.

What is the menu of your negotiations with the unions in the second half?

The priority in the coming days is to implement the employer-union agreements in the first half of youth employment. We will also continue negotiations on the value and the modernization of the peer. We will also discussions on the social well-being at work and professional equality between men and women, in which we will include paternity leave.

What is your strategy to get your ideas during the presidential campaign?

In 2007, we published a book, Need air that marked the campaign.We prepare "Need air 2" due out in early January. "Need air 2" propose structural reforms but also bring a great European project. Some time ago, it happened that I meet entrepreneurs who admitted to having voted no to the Maastricht Treaty, now I see those same business leaders confident, enthusiastic and ready to move resolutely towards European federalism economic and social development. France will remain in France if and only if Europe is united, united and powerful.

The whole world is seeking to reassure the world's largest investor, China. And France is no exception. On the way to New Caledonia where it is present at the opening of the Pacific Games, Nicolas Sarkozy made a stop today in Beijing. Announced only last Sunday – but planned for a month, provides the Elysee – the four-hour whirlwind tour of the French president is primarily to provide assurance to the leaders of the second world economy, while Europe and the United States face a debt crisis without precedent. The head of state is dinner tonight with his Chinese counterpart, Hu Jintao, in Beijing. "In the current context and a little over two months of the G20 summit in Cannes in November, it is not difficult to guess the subjects they will address," said one diplomatic source. Clearly, it will issue debt and G20.

Signs of nervousness

Beijing, which has invested since last year in debt Greek, Portuguese, Spanish and Hungarian, in general, shows a certain confidence in its accounts receivable. But this week, several signs of nervousness sweating in the corridors of power. "The debt crisis has slowly spread, like the black plague in the fourteenth century, from Greece to the peripheral countries of the European Union such as Ireland and Italy," wrote the beginning and Zhang Zhixiang week and Zhang Chao, two economists recognized, in an editorial in the very official People's Daily paydayloans.

The next day, a long interview with German magazine Der Spiegel gave the floor to the Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs, Fu Ying, who did not hesitate to scold Europe "vain.""If you do not gather to solve these problems, the euro could collapse," and estimated the diplomat, who acknowledged that China also suffers financial crisis.

Nicolas Sarkozy's visit comes two days after the departure of Joe Biden, U.S. Vice President, came in person to allay Chinese concerns about the devaluation of U.S. assets. "We need to address our deficit and we will address this," said the American number two on the last day of his visit.

Nicolas Sarkozy, who chairs the G20 this year, should also benefit from meeting with Chinese President to push the issues close to his heart, such as reducing trade imbalances and the controversial idea, defended by the Franco- German, a tax on financial transactions.The Minister of Economy and Finance, Baroin, must also be part of travel and extend the discussions preparatory to the G20 in the day tomorrow.

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