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Asian stock markets stay in green

Wednesday Sep 28, 2011

The optimism was tinged with a slight caution. After Tuesday's rebound, which saw the Nikkei finished up sharply from 2.82%, Asian stock markets continued their upward trend, but less strongly than the day before. After opening up 0.15%, the index shows Tokyo, less than an hour from the close, up 0.29% to 8635.23 points. The Korean KOSPI ahead of his side of 0.47% and the composite index of Shanghai Stock Exchange of 0.18%. Only the Hang Seng in Hong Kong, which opened down 1.42%, remains in the red, down 0.90% to 17,967.30 points. Wednesday, he had won more than 4%.

As on Wall Street where the Dow Jones ended up on 1.33% and Europe, where the CAC surged 5.74%, Asian investors have earned by renewed optimism on the resolution of the crisis debt in the eurozone.According to various sources, Europeans should indeed decide to stabilize Greece and the banking sector business cards. Strengthening the emergency fund indebted countries (EFSF) was particularly mentioned.

The yen also paused in its upward trend against the dollar, which has benefited some export values, especially in electronics and automotive. The dollar is changing around 76.54 yen while the euro is worth about 103.81 yen. As for the oil markets, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for November delivery lost 1.25 dollars to 83.20 dollars in early electronic trading. A barrel of Brent North Sea crude for November delivery gave 96 cents to 106.18 dollars.The previous day, oil had spread over 4 dollars in New York.

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Air France-KLM Orders 110 Airbus and Boeing aircraft

Saturday Sep 17, 2011

The airline announced Friday morning the details of his mega-order long-awaited by the industry. Air France-KLM is in need of long-haul 110 and passes a total of 50 firm orders and 60 options from Airbus and Boeing. Choices that are equally balanced between the two aircraft manufacturers as the firm order for 25 Airbus A350-900 and 25 Boeing B787-9 and the options are based on 35 A350-900s and 25 B787. The slight advantage, theoretical, obtained by Airbus was offset by the secret location by KLM B787 10, said La Tribune.

The group did not indicate the amount of the order but at list price, the total value would represent an investment of $ 20 billion and approximately 11.3 billion in firm orders.Following its board of directors held Thursday in New York, the group said the acquisitions "are designed to be funded by cash flow generated by the group's operations."

In addition, the group plans to commission 73 new aircraft by 2024 and then the options are exercisable between 2026 and 2028. The first Boeing 787-9 will enter service with KLM in 2016 while the first Airbus A350-900 will integrate the Air France fleet in 2018. The airline declined to give guidance on the distribution of new orders between the two group companies. "The two companies operate the two types of devices," Air France said simply. Sign that the group is more integrated than before and that the merger between Air France-KLM starts synergies.

Outstanding issues

Points of legal and economic order are still being defined.The discussion include the drivers and maintenance. In fact, the A350-900 ordered will be powered by Rolls-Royce or any device so far the airline did not work with such engines. The most important maintenance service of Air France-KLM has to adapt to new circumstances, notably through new licensing agreements.

And even if Air France-KLM touts its choices "after a detailed assessment" including on energy and environmental performance of appliances, the critics could rocket. One hundred French deputies had indeed launched a petition in June to urge Air France-KLM, which the state owns 15.7%, to choose the Airbus A350 instead of the Boeing 787 for its next command.

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Aid to Greece suspended from a German decision

Tuesday Sep 6, 2011

Angela Merkel and her government are holding their breath. Renowned for its warmth towards Europe, the Constitutional Court in Karlsruhe invite this week in the feverish debate on the rescue of the euro. The judges will vote Wednesday on the constitutional legality of financial aid given to Greece in May 2010. Their decision could affect the vote of German MPs, who must decide on Sept. 29 in the Bundestag on extending the powers of the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF).

Already facing a rebellion of the members of his conservative party (CDU), the German Chancellor has been careful to separate into two parts the vote on aid to Greece and that concerning the adoption of the future European Stability Mechanism (SPM) .More than two dozen elected officials of the CDU threatened not to ratify the decisions taken at the European Council of 21 July, fearing that Berlin does not transfer too much power to Brussels. MPs are reluctant to help Greece, which they consider a "bottomless pit" and feel that their powers in budgetary matters were trampled. The Chancellery is concerned that the decision of the judges in Karlsruhe will come inflame the debate.

Growing skepticism

Largest economy in the euro zone, Germany is also the primary funder and many elected officials in Berlin believe that they should as such have much more say in the rescue plans in the area that other countries. If the Court in Karlsruhe decided to grant German MPs a say too much in the allocation of European aid, the mechanism could find them paralyzed.German lawmakers already ensure tooth and nail over the interests of their taxpayers from a decision of the Court of Karlsruhe, dating from 2009, in which the judges had distanced themselves from the Lisbon Treaty. The Court could also decide to set limits on the allocation of aid to countries in difficulty due to the entry into force in 2012 of the brake mechanism to the debt, the golden rule in Germany. For this aid could lead to cuts in the budgets of the Federal Republic.

Across the Rhine, the distrust of the single currency is growing. A survey of the institute Allensbach with German parliamentarians center-right shows that 76% of them have little or no confidence in the euro, against 71% in a similar poll two months ago.This was reinforced by the departure of Athens, Friday, representatives of the European Union, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund have given ten days to the Greek government to advance structural reforms in the country . The parties of the center-right coalition in power have multiplied over the weekend their warnings to Greece, ordered to implement as soon as his promises of reform in return for aid to balance its budget.

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Sarkozy made a lightning visit to China to prepare for the G20

Thursday Aug 25, 2011

The whole world is seeking to reassure the world's largest investor, China. And France is no exception. On the way to New Caledonia where it is present at the opening of the Pacific Games, Nicolas Sarkozy made a stop today in Beijing. Announced only last Sunday – but planned for a month, provides the Elysee – the four-hour whirlwind tour of the French president is primarily to provide assurance to the leaders of the second world economy, while Europe and the United States face a debt crisis without precedent. The head of state is dinner tonight with his Chinese counterpart, Hu Jintao, in Beijing. "In the current context and a little over two months of the G20 summit in Cannes in November, it is not difficult to guess the subjects they will address," said one diplomatic source. Clearly, it will issue debt and G20.

Signs of nervousness

Beijing, which has invested since last year in debt Greek, Portuguese, Spanish and Hungarian, in general, shows a certain confidence in its accounts receivable. But this week, several signs of nervousness sweating in the corridors of power. "The debt crisis has slowly spread, like the black plague in the fourteenth century, from Greece to the peripheral countries of the European Union such as Ireland and Italy," wrote the beginning and Zhang Zhixiang week and Zhang Chao, two economists recognized, in an editorial in the very official People's Daily paydayloans.

The next day, a long interview with German magazine Der Spiegel gave the floor to the Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs, Fu Ying, who did not hesitate to scold Europe "vain.""If you do not gather to solve these problems, the euro could collapse," and estimated the diplomat, who acknowledged that China also suffers financial crisis.

Nicolas Sarkozy's visit comes two days after the departure of Joe Biden, U.S. Vice President, came in person to allay Chinese concerns about the devaluation of U.S. assets. "We need to address our deficit and we will address this," said the American number two on the last day of his visit.

Nicolas Sarkozy, who chairs the G20 this year, should also benefit from meeting with Chinese President to push the issues close to his heart, such as reducing trade imbalances and the controversial idea, defended by the Franco- German, a tax on financial transactions.The Minister of Economy and Finance, Baroin, must also be part of travel and extend the discussions preparatory to the G20 in the day tomorrow.

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"The signals on growth are not good"

Friday Aug 5, 2011

LE FIGARO. -The markets are highly concerned in recent weeks of debt crises. In this context, the economy has not she also helped to disrupt?

Jean-Michel SIX. -If, of course. And we must start by saying that in times of summer holidays, the markets, which were then much lower volumes, overreact to any new economic situation. The lower the index is up or dive in a much more important than what happens in winter.

Right now, they are rather dive …

For several months, both sides of the Atlantic, the signals on growth are not good. United States, including employment prospects are very disappointing. In fact, employment is not really left since the 2008 financial crisis.Labor mobility is limited due to the housing crisis: moving to take a new position, which is much the United States, is difficult because it becomes difficult to sell his house. As for household consumption, it is significantly weakened by the debt levels of Americans. A total of 2011 should result in a 2% growth, which is very disappointing for the U.S., where the pace of activity is generally much higher than in Europe.

Europe, precisely, is it in a perilous situation?

The problem of Europe is the growing divergence between North and South. This is something that worries the markets, which are asking what does that mean in terms of consistency of the euro area.Then, after a strong first quarter, it was believed that the air hole is the second passenger (once the effects of the earthquake in Japan absorbed and oil back to lower levels). But we realize that the sequence is also likely to be poor Payday advance.

Markets can they regain composure?

It is quite possible to restore calm in September thanks to coordinated action. What happened in July is that we have simultaneously witnessed a loss of U.S. leadership, unable to break the deadlock of debt and a crisis of leadership in Europe in a context crisis on public finances. This is exactly the opposite which would have required!

So how about it?

First, we must continue the work on European Governance. This is critical. Second, the timing of implementation of the second plan is important for Greece.The European Financial Stability Fund will be endowed with significant firepower, which is to say the least-welcome, but there is some impatience markets. It is important not to drag the national parliaments to adopt the device. The political signal must come quickly. Finally, the ECB has played its role, it must continue to appear reassuring.

That's what she tried to Thursday …

The measures announced by President Trichet, in particular the resumption of purchases by the ECB on secondary markets, are extremely positive.

Investors do they always trust in the euro area?

Yes. Investor confidence, especially in emerging countries has not disappeared. She even remained strong, as evidenced by the excellent performance of the euro since the beginning of the crisis.The euro zone faces a crisis of governance, not a crisis of its currency.

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That markets expect the agreement after the United States

Tuesday Aug 2, 2011

On the night of Sunday to Monday, an agreement was reached between Republicans and Democrats to raise the U.S. debt ceiling. A favorable outcome that immediately reassured the markets: when Barack Obama announced the compromise to 2:45 Paris time, Asian stock markets – open to this hour – surged after learning that the failure to pay the United States was avoided. The Nikkei in Tokyo rose 1.7% immediately before finishing up 1.34%. Later, in Europe, major indices also showed the green, like the Cac 40 in Paris, which opened up 1.35%, and the ragagnant 3700 points, the Footsie Londoner, who took 1.07 % and the Dax in Frankfurt (+1.5%).

Safe haven, gold subside sees the outbreak of the course, which showed great concern on the part of investors.The yellow metal, which was still worth almost 1630 dollars per ounce on Friday, and is around 1615 dollars fell on Monday.

Immediate response as the currency market, the dollar has suddenly taken against major world currencies, particularly against the yen (the dollar rose from 77.3 to 78 yen per hour), just after the announcement.

Reassured the markets for a while

But around noon on Monday, the dollar back down a little already, one euro was trading against 1.4437 dollars (0.23%). Same against the Swiss franc, another safe haven, which goes back to full speed again against the dollar and historical levels of force, to 0.78 Swiss francs to the dollar.

Thus, if the news is welcome, the markets are not won by the euphoria. They are waiting because the confirmation of the plan by a vote, or some Republicans have expressed strong opposition to the agreement.Already on the European stock markets, the increases are bunched together in mid-day. And on Wall Street indices predicted a future increase in the Dow Jones 1.3%. Not enough to make up for the fall of 4.4% registered in the past week.

Markets are also wary because the details of the agreement remain unclear. In addition, the debt ceiling would require a new vote in early 2013, after the presidential elections. Now remains to be seen how the rating agencies will react to reductions in planned expenditure, less important than they hoped. However, they have warned: even if the United States are not lacking, this would not prevent the AAA rating of the country may be degraded.In this case, markets may again sink into depression.

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Listens: new revelation against the Murdoch group

Saturday Jul 30, 2011

The wiretapping scandal organized by the newspaper News of the World is experiencing a new twist. It seems that the phone Sara Payne, mother of an 8 year old girl abducted and murdered in July 2000 by a serial pedophile, has also been heard. The name of the mother appeared at least on the list of Detective Glenn Mulcair charged by the tabloid to listen to the voice mail of some of the 4000 victims alleged piracy of their phone line in the 2000s. It is not certain that the investigators were able to determine whether there had been an oversight and what could be nature.

What is certain, however, is that Sara Payne is not a single victim over. She had become very close to the weekly after the death of his daughter Sarah.As part of its combination of child protection, The Phoenix Chief Advocates, she collaborated with News of the World to obtain a review of British law on the pointing of sex offenders. The photo of her daughter and had served as part of a campaign known, conducted in cooperation with the Sunday newspaper, which has yielded the right of parents to be informed of the presence of pedophiles in their neighborhood. This legislation easing access to information on sex offenders has also been called "Sarah Law," a tribute to the girl.

"Sara Payne was a friend"

Sara Payne has been "devastated" by learning that she too may have been referred by his "friends" News of the World, said his association in a statement payday loan.The young woman feels betrayed, she was greeted in the latest issue of the tabloid, published in July, a newspaper that was not only a "force for good" but also an "old friend".

As editor of the press title between 2000 and 2003, Rebekah Brooks is at the heart of these new charges. "These allegations are particularly heinous and shocking in that Sara Payne is a very dear friend", has defended the former president of News International, the division of Murdoch manages the British titles. "The idea that anyone could log in that Sara and the team of the campaign was covered by Glenn Mulcair is unthinkable."

Rebekah Brooks has always denied any knowledge of the practices challenged in News of the World. A public inquiry into eavesdropping, conducted by an independent judge, was officially opened on Thursday in London.At the same time, it was learned Friday that James Murdoch, son of media magnate, was confirmed as head of the bunch UK BSkyB satellite channels. Severely shaken by tapping the case, the group Murdoch had yet been forced to withdraw in mid-July its offer to buy 61% stake in the company he does not already own.

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French business morale deteriorates

Saturday Jul 23, 2011

Business leaders of the Hexagon are not moral. According to figures released Friday by the INSEE index of business climate appears down sharply this month. At 105 points, he loses four points compared to June, although it remains above its long-term average. "The economic climate is deteriorating in almost all sectors," says the institute. Apart from the building, indicators of industry, services, retail and wholesale drop three to five points. Only the owners keep the building for hours trust.

Pessimistic without sounding the alarm industry (including confidence indicator increased from 110 to 105 points in July) believe that their past activity has slowed significantly. "The stocks of finished products are considered low," says INSEE. The order books are down, but still sufficient, says the institute."We are not surprised by these numbers wrong, responded to Williencourt Camille, an economist at Natixis. In the first quarter, industrial production was driven by temporary factors, like the last effects of scrapping, or the strong growth in Germany. It is no longer the case, and we must expect a slowdown in this sector activitéde for both next quarter. "

Demand less favorable

Same story in services, where the business folds of four points (to 103 points against 107 in June). Bosses' expect the application to be less favorable in the coming months, Insee said.If they believe that operating income has accelerated somewhat over the recent period, they anticipate a sharp slowdown in the coming months. "To Dominique Barbet, economist at BNP Paribas," the difficulty of the bosses to raise prices will continue to weigh on margins and employment in industry. "

The leaders of the retail and automotive industries also find a slowdown in activity in July. It would continue "under the planned decrease in sales and orders intensions," said the institute. Which notes that "they have also been fewer than in the last question to report price increases of the past."Despite a sluggish economy, retailers indicate that the pace of job creation is expected to remain stable over the coming months.

Given these figures, Dominique Barbet still maintains its growth forecast of 0.3% for the second quarter. But should be "a little more pessimistic" for three months, where he counted on a GDP growth of 0.4%. For its part, Camille Williencourt believes that the activity will continue to deteriorate at a slow fire until the end of the year, assuming zero growth next quarter.


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"Maybe a good month of August on the markets"

Friday Jul 22, 2011

Lefigaro.fr – What conclusions can we draw from the first published results toMember United?

To date, 27% of companies in the S & P 500 have released their interim results, ie 135 companies and 75.6% of them have announced profits above expectations. We left for a good year. This week, the big banks (Bank of America, Citigroup Wells Fargo), were quite surprised in a good way, even if we remain cautious on the interpretation of their figures. Past two years, they have spent many provisions in their accounts, and use it sometimes to beautify their results today. Only Goldman Sachs really disappointed. By sector, energy, basic materials, and technology are doing so well, with respectively 40.3%, 45.3% and 13.7% increase in expected profits for the second half.Note that the consumer sector is basic to the sentence, with an expected fall in profits by 2.1% over the period.

How to explain this performance better than expected?

It has been two years since the publications of societies are generally above expectations. The restructuring made by the companies during the crisis are now bearing fruit. It is currently for companies in the S & P500 on levels of operating profitability of 15% … levels rarely reached. We must remain cautious because the potential for improving these margins is now limited. On the sales side, the expected increase for 2011 is 9%.

The second reason for these surprises is simpler. Analysts are sometimes influenced by the companies that encourage them to be very cautious in their forecasts.This is to avoid disappointment in the markets.

These publications are good they had a positive impact on the markets?

Yes. Google, for example, jumped 12% on the day of the announcement of results exceeding all expectations. The same goes for Apple. While some feared an impact on the financial problems of supply of components of the iPhone (from Japan), the group announced record profits. In the process, his title was up 4.5%. However, always put these results in a corporate market. In the first quarter 2011, the markets were at their highest, and the announcement by a company results in line with forecasts had very little impact its share price Payday Loan for Bad Credit.Today it's different, a confirmation of expectations or a nice surprise on a publication is much appreciated.

If the earnings season continues on the same trend, then markets could leave freely on the rise?

It's not that simple. The market impact of the debt crisis in Europe and the United States is very strong. We are actually in the eye of the storm with these macroeconomic issues, with a market that has stalled in May and operators who are positioned defensively. However, there is a real potential to rebound … as long as the market wants good focus on microeconomics. We are quite optimistic on this point because the next ten days, operators should see much more clear about the solutions in place for at least partially solve the problems of debt.In Europe, the solution to Greece has already restored air markets. And the United States, we can not stay on the current status quo for removing the ceiling on debt. Once this is clarified, the market will again focus on the prospects, and we could have a good August. Especially with a price / earnings ratio of 14.2, we are still 15 to 16% below the valuation levels of 2007, while corporate profits are 10% higher than they were at the time.

What are the sectors that should perform better in your opinion?

Technology stocks seem on track to rebound in the wake of good results from Microsoft, IBM or Intel.The good news in the industry are also positive for the energy sector, which could also rebound strongly, especially the coal industry, where mergers are again more frequent. More generally, there is a return of large transactions, which is another favorable factor for the markets rebound. This is the case for the acquisition was announced, the U.S. by Express Scripts Medco Health to $ 29.1 billion.

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Wall Street opens higher despite Moody's

Friday Jul 15, 2011

U.S. stocks opened higher Thursday, JPMorgan considered the results of positive compensating the warning on Wednesday by Moody's sovereign rating of the United States.

In early trade, the Dow Jones gained 0.1% to 12,512 points, while the Standard & Poor's 500, the benchmark for fund managers, is 0.3% to 1321 points and the composite Nasdaq ahead by 0.2% to 2803 points.

Investors seem determined to maintain the momentum of the previous day despite macroeconomic still very tense. Last night, the rating agency Moody's threatened to lose them in the U.S. triple-A in the coming weeks if Congress failed to reach an agreement to raise the ceiling on the national debt.Before that, the Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke reiterated Wednesday that "a failure of the United States on its debts, or its commitments to its own citizens, would create a major crisis."

In Europe, the situation is calmer. Fitch downgraded the sovereign rating three notches to Greece, CCC, B + cons before, dangerously close to the category of issuer insolvency. The euro area is still unable to agree on the question of a possible failure Greek. A summit on the date still uncertain, should take place next week.

Relief on the Italian front

However, investors are reassured by Italy. Despite borrowing costs record, the country has successfully issued a total of 4.97 billion euros of bonds today, to a maximum target of 5 billion."The auctions were well received in Italy in the circumstances, given the volumes required by the market and correct oversubscription," said Orlando Green, strategist at Credit Agricole CIB in London. The Italian Senate has also given the green light Thursday to a first austerity plan reinforced in an attempt to stem contagion from the crisis of debt in the euro area.

Side indicators, good news came on the employment front. The jobless claims fell in the first week of July to their lowest level since mid-April, according to figures released Thursday by the Labor Department. On a seasonally adjusted, the Ministry estimated that 405,000 new jobless claims in the week of July 3 to 9, against 427,000 (revised) the previous week.Analysts had forecast a smaller drop to 410,000.

In addition, retail sales unexpectedly rebounded in June, where they rose 0.1% over May, according to figures released Thursday in Washington by the Department of Commerce. Analysts estimated that retail sales had declined for the second consecutive month by 0.2%, according to their median forecast. Year on year, the index of the Department increased by 8.1% in June

The producer prices fell 0.4% in June in the U.S. after rising 0.2% in May, according to figures released Thursday by the Labor Department.

Note on the currency market, the rise of the euro against the greenback. It is trading 1.4205 dollars against 1.4153 last night.Oil prices are without direction, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in August lost a cent to 98.04 dollars while that of Brent North Sea crude for delivery the same takes 14 cents to 118.92 dollars.

Values ​​to follow

Side values, investors are pleased with the results of JP Morgan. The title earns 3.2% to 40.91 dollars. The bank, which opened the ball of the second quarter bank earnings, reported earnings better than expected. JP Morgan reported net income of $ 5.4 billion (3.80 billion euros) or $ 1.27 per share, against $ 4.8 billion, or $ 1.09 per share a year earlier. Economists on average had forecast earnings per share of $ 1.21. Net banking income rose by 7% to $ 27.4 billion.

ConocoPhillips reported on Thursday its intention to split into two groups by separating its refining and marketing. The transaction is expected to be completed in the first half of 2015. Investors welcomed the announcement, the title clinching 6.28% to 79.09 dollars.

Marriott International reported Wednesday a rise in earnings while delivering bleak forecasts for the remainder of the year. Its earnings per share were 37 cents against 31 cents a year earlier. Analysts were expecting 37 cents. For the full year 2011, Marriott said, anticipating an EPS of between 1.35 and $ 1.43 instead of 1.35 to 1.45 above. The title is heavily penalized, losing 6.27% to 34.81 dollars.

Yum Brands, owner of the fast food chain KFC, released Wednesday a net earnings per share to 65 cents from April to June, while analysts expected 60 cents. The group now expects annual growth of at least 12% of BPA, instead of the expected 10% increase so far. The title earns 2.42% to 56.93 dollars.

Google reports earnings after the close. Its EPS is expected to show up to 71 cents against 68 cents the same quarter last year. The title is treading water (0.08%) to 538.83 dollars.

Douwe Egberts Dutch coffee distributor and subsidiary of Sara Lee, announced Thursday that it plans to get in stock in the first half of 2012.


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