Illustration of this calming the markets, interest rates and French italients relax. Relaxing on the European bond market begins today in the morning with both a decline in rate to 10 years in Italy, far below the 7% and a reduction in the yield spread between 10-year Germany and France with 159 points.

In Greece, the new Prime Minister Evangelos Lucas Papademos renewed Véniélos Finance. In Italy, the Senate passed the economic measures promised to the European Union, until the House of Representatives to do in turn.Which would open the door at the start of Silvio Berlusconi is expected to replace the former European Commissioner Mario Monti.

The market welcomed the strong performance of Disney

Oil prices rose slightly at the opening Friday in New York, watching the market with relief progress in the transition to the head of Italy and Greece. Around 3:10 p.m. (Paris time) on the New York Mercantile Exchange, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for December delivery traded at 98.06 dollars, up 28 cents from the previous day.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro gained ground against the dollar Friday, supported by renewed hope on the situation in the eurozone, currency traders who are particularly reassured by the evolution of the political situation in Italy, which is expected to succeed Mario Monti Silvio Berlusconi.

"Reliving the day Thursday

This meeting was preceded yesterday morning by a preparatory meeting involving key ministers.A tax on wealth was also considered.

For its part, the Bank of Italy said yesterday, after completing a "stress-test" on the public debt (equal to 1.9 trillion euros, or 120% of GDP), it was "sustainable and expected to remain stable or decline slightly over the next two years, although rates on government securities amounted to 8% and that growth is zero. "

"Be responsible"

Silvio Berlusconi pledged Tuesday to Angela Merkel to present the stimulus at the G20. The stakes are high for Italy, when the borrowing rate to ten years the country approaching the "point of no return."

Investors are in effect suspended the decisions that should be taken after the EU summit to be held this Sunday. Before this appointment crucial for the future of the euro area, policy-makers of the Old Continent has already promised that a solution to the crisis would be found.

Meanwhile, last minute negotiations are increasing.According to Reuters, citing a paper, "e European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF), will be able to buy bonds on the secondary market" if the countries in the euro area concerned so requests and obtain agreement European authorities.

Following the publication of this document, the euro hit a session high of 1.3838 against the dollar, the European stock markets have erased much of their losses and future on the major indexes on Wall Street resumed a little high. Expanding the powers of the EFSF and increasing its firepower at the heart of the plan for resolving the debt crisis in the euro area. The European Council of Sunday should be an opportunity to specify the details of how the EFSF will be used.

Wednesday, Nicolas Sarkozy traveled to Frankfurt to urgently resolve differences directly with France and Germany Angela Merkel.No information was available for this meeting. The Wall Street Journal, the discussions would focus on the possibility of allowing the EFSF to provide collateral to support bonds issued by countries in need rather than use it to provide direct guarantees.

The Beige Book calls for caution

On Wall Street, the report of conditions in the U.S. central bank (Beige Book) yesterday also a moment of caution.The information gathered by the regional branches of the Fed indicate that overall economic activity rose slightly in September but they also point out that corporate earnings have not improved payday advance.

Finally Moody's said Wednesday night that lowered the rating by one notch from five major Spanish banks, following its decision to degrade the sovereign rating of that country.

Chapter macroeconomic across the Atlantic, weekly claims for unemployment benefits will be published 16 hours as well as sales of existing homes in September and the composite indicator of the economy.Activity in the Philadelphia area in October, which often appears an early indication of economic conditions in the United States, will also be unveiled in 16 hours.

New salvo of results

A Wall Street investors dissect a new salvo of results.

After the close of Wall Street, American Express has released the third quarter earnings of $ 1.24 billion, a net income per share of $ 1.03 against $ 0.96 expected and $ 0.9 year past. The turnover stood at 7.57 billion dollars, according to estimates.

Ebay announced a profit of $ 491 million, or 37 cents a share in the third quarter, in line with expectations.The turnover amounted to 2.97 billion dollars against 2.91 billion expected.

Edwards Lifesciences has recorded a net profit of $ 51.6 million in the third quarter, against 48 million a year earlier.

Noble Corporation saw its net income nearly tripled in the third quarter to $ 135 million against 54 million last quarter.

Stryker has done for the third quarter, a turnover of $ 2 billion, up 14.9%, and earnings per share of $ 0.91, up 13.8%.

Wynn Resorts has achieved a net sales in the third quarter of $ 1.3 billion, against $ 1 billion last year.Adjusted net income totaled $ 133 million or $ 1.05 per share, against 49 million or $ 0.39 a year earlier.

On Thursday, Philip Morris International will release its figures before the opening of Wall Street and Microsoft after closing.

It is not clear that this is sufficient to restore the trust of those customers who have been touted for years the irreproachable quality of service of BlackBerry. The damage is considerable.For nearly four days, the vast majority of the 70 million BlackBerry circulating in the world have been very long breaks in services.

This failure is striking for its breadth and comes at the worst time, when the company was criticized by shareholders and that its rival Apple released the iPhone 4S.

"We can compare this failure which occurred earlier this year Sony with piracy data bank. The service was not affected, but it aroused the same loss of customer confidence. In both cases, the credibility in terms of brand image is reached ", e xplique Jean-Michel Huet, managing partner of the firm Bearing Point. To cope, it is necessary not only that RIM do his mea culpa, possibly to indemnify customers and above all it gives the guarantee that this will not happen again. "There are three or four years, the Bouygues Telecom network had broken down.They had compensated the customers by offering a day pass, "he recounts.

For now, RIM could face significant financial claims. Vodafone, Telefonica (Spain), Emirates Telecommunications plan to compensate their subscribers and then to turn against BlackBerry. Operators might be less generous in their grants to buy a BlackBerry, frustrated by having to manage "a deluge of calls on line pay day loans."

Captive customers

However, RIM has the advantage that some of its customers are captive: companies will not change their entire fleet of mobile overnight, and individuals are often under commitment and can not change your mobile. The Canadian manufacturer has a little time to regain the trust of its customers. But not all."There are already companies that are considering leaving RIM and wonder about its reliability," says Carolina Milanesi, an analyst at Gartner.

This failure could also hinder the development of RIM in emerging markets. The group is just beginning to establish itself in India, one of the countries most affected by the bug! To compensate for the decline in sales in the United States and Canada, the manufacturer decided to focus on these countries.

In addition, the group's management is facing a serious crisis of confidence that will get better because of the difficulties of society. Last quarter, sales fell 19% to 10 million smartphones, while its net income was divided by more than two, to 329 million, for a turnover down 10% in one year at $ 4.2 billion.Some shareholders, including investment funds, require a change of direction or a sale of the group. The problems this week, compounded by the lack of communication of the group at the beginning of the week, fueling discontent. Yesterday, the title yielded 3.43% at the opening of Wall Street, a decline of over 60% year on year.

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Vote at high risk in Slovakia

Investors in the U.S. and Europe will continue to follow step by step développementsde the debt crisis in the eurozone. The latter is suspended by a vote very uncertain of the Slovak Parliament on Tuesday that could block the strengthening of the Financial Assistance Fund of the monetary union, the main instrument to hope to stop the contagion of the debt crisis, banks in particular.Investors also await the release later in the day of the minutes of the Fed and the announcement of Alcoa, the first tenor of the coast to announce its figures for the third quarter. The euro area, which has so far failed to stem the debt crisis, has the "political will" to overcome, reiterated on Tuesday German Chancellor Angela Merkel during a visit to Vietnam. Jean Claude Trichet, the outgoing president of the ECB, for his part said that "clear decisions" were necessary in view of the seriousness of the situation. He said the crisis has reached a "systemic dimension."

Berlin and Paris reassure markets

The willingness of the Franco-German recapitalize the banks and out of the spiral of debt crisis, like in Europe, supported investor sentiment for several days.Monday, U.S. President Barack Obama gave his full support "to the strategy of Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel." The latter, meeting in Berlin on Sunday pledged to respond "lasting and comprehensive peace" to the crisis in the euro area for the G20 summit in Cannes, 3 and 4 November. About the difficulties of the European banking sector, the two leaders said they were "determined to do whatever it takes to ensure the recapitalization of our banks." Again, the "details" will be specified later, they promised, while the EU summit scheduled for October 17 and 18 was postponed to October 23 to allow more time for officers to prepare a response "global" . Investors will pay particular attention to responses to the Greek question, the epicenter of the crisis.The leading European finance ministers, Jean-Claude Juncker, said yesterday that a discount of over 60% for creditors of Greece was possible.

First dance of Quarterly Results

In the U.S., the season of quarterly results of large companies to begin on Tuesday after the close of Wall Street. As usual, the aluminum giant Alcoa will kick-off for these publications. Follow in particular, PepsiCo Wednesday, Thursday, JPMorgan Chase and internet group Google and finally, Friday, Mattel. Analysts bet on an average increase of 13% earnings per share for the third quarter.

On the macroeconomic front U.S. investors await including the minutes of the last Fed meeting on Tuesday in 20 hours.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro is trying to go against the greenback.By late morning, the euro bought 1.3602 dollars against 1.3645 dollars late Monday. Oil is, him stable. The barrel of "light sweet crude" for November delivery gained 18 cents to 85.59 dollars. A barrel of Brent North Sea crude for November delivery gave a small 14 cents to 108.81 dollars.

Great success for the iPhone 4S

The side of values, Goldman Sachs should probably record a loss in the third quarter, which would be only the second quarterly loss in history of the giant Wall Street analysts expect Citigroup.

Apple announced its iPhone 4S has received one million pre-orders in the space of a day.By comparison, 600,000 pre-orders were recorded for the iPhone 4 in the first 24 hours.

Research in Motion announced Tuesday that its BlackBerry email and instant messaging were restored in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, nearly 20 hours after the crash reported in India and the region.

American Airlines announced a reduction in flights in coming months compared to the previous year, citing among other adverse economic conditions. American Airlines said its capacity during "the late fall and winter" would be reduced by 3% over the previous year.

The title of the group that Alcoa is required to publish its quarterly results after the market will be particularly surrounded.

Spanish growth at half mast

Moody's in turn should decide by the end of October on a possible downgrade Spanish now "Aa2" (the third best possible)."With significant funding needs" of the Spanish State, to cover its budget expenditures and net external debt is "one of the highest in the world" (91% of GDP), said Fitch, "the more volatile strong a negative effect on financing conditions in the market of Spain. "

But there are also internal factors in the country "risks to fiscal consolidation as a result of performance parts." The same agency Fitch has lowered Wednesday including the long-term rating of the Basque Country, one of the richest region in which it criticizes the "weak fiscal performance." Growth forecasts have been revised downwards. Wednesday, the Bank of Spain announced that the country's growth expected to slow in the third quarter, to reach an economic activity 'lackluster'.The Spanish government has also recognized that the economic growth targets it had set for 2011 and subsequent years would be "hard to reach" because of the risk of recession in the world.

Italian governance into question

Fitch also lowered the rating one notch to Italy, "A +" against "AA-" and does not see her again in the fall if the country would miss its targets for reducing the budget deficit. Fitch was the last of three major international rating agencies have not downgraded from Italy since the beginning of the debt crisis in the eurozone. She explained that the high level of public debt and budgetary financing needs, combined with the low level of potential growth (the country), made in Italy especially vulnerable.The Agency is challenging the country's governance and stressed that the differences in the Parliament and the escapades of the prime minister Silvio Berlusconi, help to weaken the ruling coalition.

Belgium heckled by Dexia

Belgium is also in sight. The agenceMoody's said it was considering lowering its rating, currently at "Aa1", the second best possible. The agency cited three reasons: the crisis in the euro area, concerns for economic growth and the possibility of additional support to the banking system, particularly in establishing Franco-Belgian Dexia.

Another European country in turmoil, Portugal, has been confirmed its rating of "BBB-" (the last before falling into the category of "speculative") by Fitch, which continued on negative watch at least until the end of the year.Standard & Poor's, confirmed Tuesday the rating "BBB-" from Portugal, while maintaining it as a negative outlook. Portugal, the third country in the eurozone after Greece and Ireland to receive international financial assistance, is facing new economic challenges that undermine his efforts to clean up its public accounts. Progress in implementing the program of the European Union and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and its budget for 2012 will be crucial.

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"3 billion for local

Background: In 2008, The Christmas Graët, then vice-president of the FFF, signs the "Contract of the Century" with Nike: 320 million for the period 2011-2018. This negotiation will be the argument of his election as president. At that price, the Graët sells equipment for national teams.And bang, that the France team that female become pampered football in France, makes his way to the London Games guaranteed high risk personal loans.

Problem: all the French Olympic teams – football, basketball, athletics – must participate in the Olympic Games under the banner of Adidas, the equipment of the National Olympic Committee of French sport (CNOSF). This did not escape the law of Nike, which, according to RMC, call … € 10 million for breach of contract! The CNOSF, attacked on his prerogatives and paid by Adidas, will not compromise. Nike either. One of two things: either the new president of the FFF "sold" which does not belong to him or he had bet on the failure of the Blue qualifications.Charles Gautier

As many failures as successes

Finally, with 224 new listed companies, plans IPO in 2011 materialized just above groups who backed down … Reveals a situation very unfavorable market conditions for the candidates to the adventure market."A successful introduction requires both companies which want to move in the markets and investors willing to commit, explains Philippe Kubis, capital markets partner at PwC. If the materials are there, the latter remain far behind, in a context of uncertainty in the business plan of candidates for introduction. In addition, operations are often arrested in very early stage, which means more delays than cancellations of projects. "

On June 20, the materials group Saint-Gobain Building and renounced to introduce an immediate business of bottles and jars, Verallia. Two months later, the CEO of Wendel (Wendel largest shareholder) welcomed the decision, finding that ca "was not a good start to the stock market history."Alongside 59 other companies had suspended their plans after the official launch of the operation, Verallia escaped the summer meltdown of financial markets, which saw the CAC 40 lost 18% between late June and early September. "The very low current valuations are not conducive to achieving the project, adds Philippe Kubis. The adequacy of the valuation of a company with market conditions at a given time is a key to the success of an operation. However, companies do not want an introduction to the discount. "

Market volatility, however, is not solely responsible. In September 2010, the hotel group Accor has sought to withdraw from the group of Casinos Lucien Barriere, via an initial public offering, and market conditions much more calm.No more successful for this group suffered from poor stock market performance of its competitor Partouche, and especially of a development strategy too unconvincing to raise funds expected.

Tell a story

A successful introduction presupposes an attractive project for sale to investors (a "story to tell," according to experts). From this point of view, some candidates still have a stock speech ambiguity, or an economic model that have not been sufficiently proven.

Best example: the site group purchasing U.S. Groupon. The group was founded by Andrew Mason enthusiastic market for two years by the brilliance of its growth. What to think about a possible introduction free credit score. But the news could cool investors.The site, which is a valuation of $ 20 billion, would be delayed by several months its plans stock, following the refusal by the federal authorities of certain elements of his record. The group took many liberties with the accounting to embellish his figures, making it the most beautiful bride. The kind of hocus-pocus that would certainly not digested the market if the group had been rated! Especially since Groupon continues to widen its losses under the weight of investment in advertising and marketing commitment to support its growth.

In terms of social networks, some uncertainty still exists about how to value companies. "The valuations given for these sites seem important in light of an economic model that looks a little, says Philippe Kubis.It seems to move towards a model including user fees, which ultimately enhance the strength of their profile, and investor interest. "

Constraints rating

A case which also the developer of video games on social networks Zynga. Again, the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) had requested more information on the group's activities. What backward one month (November) the first steps in Zynga Stock Exchange. Even Facebook, social networking superstar, endless hesitation. Its founder Marck Zuckerberg, fear of such an operation a shift in focus of its product development teams to financial performance. From this point of view, the market performance of its professional counterpart, LinkedIn tends to reinforce his caution.Despite a triumphant introduction to the New York Stock Exchange last May, the group rating today in its opening price.

For SMEs, the fund raising smaller first appear easier. Following the example of specialist endomicroscopy Mauna Kea, which easily lifted in early July about 50 million euros on the Paris. Innovative technology, and markets more stable: the stage was set to attract investors. But since then, the small company founded in 2000 has not escaped the stock market panic. After being flown by 43% during the first two trading days (a common occurrence during IPOs), the title of the listed company has 13% below its price of admission.

Mauna Kea in its IPO price

For SMEs, the fund raising smaller first appear easier.Following the example of specialist endomicroscopy Mauna Kea, which easily lifted in early July about 50 million euros on the Paris. Innovative technology, and markets more stable: the stage was set to attract investors. But since then, the small company founded in 2000 has not escaped the stock market panic. After being flown by 43% during the first two trading days (a common occurrence during IPOs), the title of the listed company has 13% below its price of admission.

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A variation in the end, more than 130,000 people! Worse, for next year, the decline was announced before the 91,000 unemployed in 2012 should eventually turn up … 123,100. Or, this time, a delta of close to 215,000 job seekers.

Job creation in 2012 will also suffer from the slowdown by 2013.According to projections by Unedic, they will simply be divided by 2.5, to stabilize below 70 000 in late 2012.

13 billion euros of accumulated deficit late 2012

The effect on the finances of the unemployment insurance system is important easy to get unsecured personal loans. The deficit for 2011 is expected to increase to 500 million euros, 2.5 billion tangent again. And over 272 million anticipated four months ago for 2012 will turn into hole of nearly $ 1.8 billion. Result, the deficit which was initially just exceed 10 billion by 2012, also off again on the rise and be around at the end of next year, the $ 13 billion.

"These poor results do not Unedic in a dire financial situation, however, reassured the president, Gaby Bonnand. We have the means to meet our commitments and pay allowances.We just need to remain vigilant because it will be difficult to borrow in the markets, given the situation worse. "

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