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2011 a year full of contrasts in terms of employment. After a positive first half, payroll employment has declined significantly over the second half of the year. In the fourth quarter of 2011, the French economy has destroyed 22,600 jobs in the principally market sectors (-0.1% over the previous quarter), according to revised figures released Thursday by INSEE.

This is slightly less than the third quarter, when for the first time in two years, the statistician public records a decline in employment of 31,500 jobs (-0.2%). Gave its provisional figures until the third quarter slightly creates jobs. With a dynamic first half, 67,300 jobs have been created, however, over one year is a positive trend of 0.4%.  

The ACOSS, which accounts for job creation on a slightly different scope, in turn finds a changing "stable in the last quarter as in the previous quarter, after five consecutive quarters of increases," with 9,300 jobs created.

Temporary employment down

Over 90% of job losses announced by INSEE result of the decline in temporary employment. The trend is accelerating in the fourth quarter, with 21,100 destroyed in acting positions, against 12,900 the previous quarter. A first after nine quarters of the rise, INSEE said. This leading indicator of labor market, more sensitive to cyclical fluctuations, does not bode well from the beginning of 2012.

In detail on this last quarter, the industry, which had suffered severely from the crisis of 2008-2009 before stabilizing its workforce in mid 2011, again losing 1700 jobs, slightly less than the third quarter (5100) . Over one year, the sector recorded a negative trend of 0.1%, or 2,100 jobs destroyed. This is less than the construction, which lost 0.8% of its workforce over one year (11,900 jobs) and 0.3% in the fourth quarter (4600 positions). After a decline in service employment excluding temporary in the third quarter, the fourth, however, found a small increase (4,900 jobs).

Andy Adam, by creating the page "No refueling on March 1 in Germany!" Was a huge blip on the canvas, quickly picked up by media across the Rhine. With an average price of 1.70 euro per liter of super (against 1.55 in France), gasoline saw its flaming course in Europe since January 1. Claim of individuals joined those associations, as ADAC, powerful organization that unites over 17 million motorists across the Rhine.

Rising prices is certainly caused primarily by rising oil prices and problems in the Middle East, but the spokesman ADAC also shows the finger of responsibility oil majors: the rising price of a liter "is a matter for enterprises, which make huge profits with. The market is monopolized by five major companies, which are not competitive, "she told the daily Rheinische Post.  

A signal to policy

Calling on Facebook, even if it materializes Thursday, March 1, will not change the policies of the major oil companies: "This will have no effect," says a manager of Esso the region of Ulm in Bavaria, interviewed by Südwest Presse newspaper. "It does not annoy anyone. Right now there are even more and more people are filling up for fear that prices will rise again tomorrow. " The fuel will not be purchased on the first will be taken the next day, betting professionals.

This action and its resonance is still a strong signal to motorists to the German government, in a time when state coffers are full. The German tax authorities because it may alter several devices to reduce the cost of transportation. In addition to VAT and taxes that affect the fuel, the Ministry of Finance has the ability to play on the tax relief enjoyed by motorists. The ADAC claimed that assistance to motorists who use their cars to get to work from 30 to 40 cents per kilometer. The ministry declined for now to make a move. These are the neighboring countries who benefit: the Polish and Czech gas stations are under attack on the eve of the weekend.

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In this year financially troubled employees rely on corporate savings to rebuild their nest eggs. This is apparent from a study conducted by the CSA institute for the Club of employee savings.

Over the last twelve months, more than half of the beneficiaries of employee savings invested 12% of their pay. A percentage much higher than previous years.

"Employees are concerned about the consequences of the financial crisis. 40% of them plan to evolve their total savings, "says Henry Alline, president of the Club of employee savings. More than half (55%) of respondents in this study say they are satisfied for the moment the financial performance of their business investment. But they were 59% a year ago flexcheck cash advance.

As is the case for several years, employees save for retirement.Over the last twelve months, two thirds of employees and supports a PEE (company savings plan). This device, like Perco Plan (retirement savings plan), allows to build a long-term savings. It is powered by matching contributions from the employer or employee payments can spend up to a quarter of his annual salary.

Provided they meet the minimum capital funds (5 years for the EEP and until retirement for Perco), the yields of these products (dividends, capital gains) are exempt from tax income. This explains the growing success of these formulas, still reserved for the privileged. For 70% of employees do not have access to employee savings plan.

On the menu of the G20 Finance, the crisis of the euro area and the slowing world economy wiped out all other subjects dear to President Nicolas Sarkozy. Reform the international monetary system to reduce the large global imbalances. At the summit this Friday in Paris, the finance ministers of major economic powers should demand accountability from their counterparts in the euro area.

Statements prior to the summit leaves no room for doubt. The leaders of the G20 countries are working on a short-term plan to stop the economic downturn and reduce the impact of the crisis in the euro area, said a Canadian official on his way to Paris. The G20 will not replace the euro area in the resolution of the Greek crisis, however, he warned.

"The meetings focus on how to increase the resources available to deal with the crisis and stabilize the markets", said Chinese Vice Minister of Finance Zhu. The Europeans would like to see the great powers increase the resources of the IMF so that it can lend more to countries in the eurozone in trouble. "Of course they want, the Chinese Minister has responded. But we have just discussed. "Understand: nothing has been decided to date.

"The resources of the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF, the support mechanism in the euro area) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) would be inadequate if the contagion (of the crisis in the euro area) continued" said Pravin Gordhan Finance Minister of South Africa on Friday.In this case, the Brics (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) "indicated that they would be likely to support international institutions if they were asked no fax payday advances."

No decisions

The G20 finance ministers this Friday should not result in decisions, the Canadian official has warned. Rather it is to prepare the final summit of the French Presidency of the G20, on 3-4 November in Cannes, which will bring together heads of states of representing 85% of the global economy. "Europeans should explore the support that this Friday is prepared to give them their Chinese counterparts, American and Japanese decrypts Ciaran O'Hagan, strategist at Societe Generale CIB.Investors hope the G20 in November resulted in a plan likely to change that. "

Meanwhile, finance ministers French, Italian and German should have the barrage of questions from their peers about their response to the crisis. "The adverse consequences of delaying the solution are just bigger," expressed concern Thursday Lael Brainard, Deputy U.S. Treasury Secretary for International Affairs "Given the growing risks that threaten the recovery, the U.S. will intensified their call for determined action. "The Europeans are on notice: they must find a solution to the crisis at their next summit, Sunday, October 23.

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The major index futures on Wall Street, announce an opening slightly lower on the NYSE. After four sessions of strong gains in a row investors should reap a share of their earnings per caution. Attention should be reinforced by several major deadline ahead.

Vote at high risk in Slovakia

Investors in the U.S. and Europe will continue to follow step by step développementsde the debt crisis in the eurozone. The latter is suspended by a vote very uncertain of the Slovak Parliament on Tuesday that could block the strengthening of the Financial Assistance Fund of the monetary union, the main instrument to hope to stop the contagion of the debt crisis, banks in particular.Investors also await the release later in the day of the minutes of the Fed and the announcement of Alcoa, the first tenor of the coast to announce its figures for the third quarter. The euro area, which has so far failed to stem the debt crisis, has the "political will" to overcome, reiterated on Tuesday German Chancellor Angela Merkel during a visit to Vietnam. Jean Claude Trichet, the outgoing president of the ECB, for his part said that "clear decisions" were necessary in view of the seriousness of the situation. He said the crisis has reached a "systemic dimension."

Berlin and Paris reassure markets

The willingness of the Franco-German recapitalize the banks and out of the spiral of debt crisis, like in Europe, supported investor sentiment for several days.Monday, U.S. President Barack Obama gave his full support "to the strategy of Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel." The latter, meeting in Berlin on Sunday pledged to respond "lasting and comprehensive peace" to the crisis in the euro area for the G20 summit in Cannes, 3 and 4 November. About the difficulties of the European banking sector, the two leaders said they were "determined to do whatever it takes to ensure the recapitalization of our banks." Again, the "details" will be specified later, they promised, while the EU summit scheduled for October 17 and 18 was postponed to October 23 to allow more time for officers to prepare a response "global" . Investors will pay particular attention to responses to the Greek question, the epicenter of the crisis.The leading European finance ministers, Jean-Claude Juncker, said yesterday that a discount of over 60% for creditors of Greece was possible.

First dance of Quarterly Results

In the U.S., the season of quarterly results of large companies to begin on Tuesday after the close of Wall Street. As usual, the aluminum giant Alcoa will kick-off for these publications. Follow in particular, PepsiCo Wednesday, Thursday, JPMorgan Chase and internet group Google and finally, Friday, Mattel. Analysts bet on an average increase of 13% earnings per share for the third quarter.

On the macroeconomic front U.S. investors await including the minutes of the last Fed meeting on Tuesday in 20 hours.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro is trying to go against the greenback.By late morning, the euro bought 1.3602 dollars against 1.3645 dollars late Monday. Oil is, him stable. The barrel of "light sweet crude" for November delivery gained 18 cents to 85.59 dollars. A barrel of Brent North Sea crude for November delivery gave a small 14 cents to 108.81 dollars.

Great success for the iPhone 4S

The side of values, Goldman Sachs should probably record a loss in the third quarter, which would be only the second quarterly loss in history of the giant Wall Street analysts expect Citigroup.

Apple announced its iPhone 4S has received one million pre-orders in the space of a day.By comparison, 600,000 pre-orders were recorded for the iPhone 4 in the first 24 hours.

Research in Motion announced Tuesday that its BlackBerry email and instant messaging were restored in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, nearly 20 hours after the crash reported in India and the region.

American Airlines announced a reduction in flights in coming months compared to the previous year, citing among other adverse economic conditions. American Airlines said its capacity during "the late fall and winter" would be reduced by 3% over the previous year.

The title of the group that Alcoa is required to publish its quarterly results after the market will be particularly surrounded.

Euro countries, including France and Germany, rejected the Euro Summit in Brussels originally scheduled for October 18 to October 23. This is to give a little more time to the development of the answer "global" announced this weekend in Berlin by Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel. "This new date will allow us to finalize a comprehensive strategy for the debt crisis in the euro area," said Herman Van Rompuy, the President of the European Union.

'Global response'

In Berlin, Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel had foreshadowed the shift by promising "sustainable solutions, comprehensive and fast before the end of the month."They also kept to define the contours, which allows to believe that the agreement is to be locked at seventeen if not two, on the key points: the recapitalization of banks and the role of the European stabilization financial, finding economically viable treatment for Greece and modification of European treaties in order to strengthen collective discipline pay day loan lenders.

Europeans to revise their copy, just three months after concocted, July 21, a plan intended to resolve the crisis in Greece and curb its spread to Italy or Spain. It has not yet been adopted by all Seventeen. The vote of Slovakia, with a coalition divided on the subject may become paralyzing veto and the euro area.

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Vallourec disappoints investors. In a statement on the occasion of an investor day in Brazil, the Group revises down slightly its forecast for gross operating profit (EBITDA). "Considering the cautious attitude of distributors in markets outside energy due to economic uncertainty, the EBITDA of the second half of 2011 should be at a level similar to that of the first half of 2011," said the group was counting far on a GOP "slightly higher".

Intended as reassuring, Vallourec ensures that the environment is now positive for the energy markets it supplies.It provides always an increase in production output and turnover in the second half, compared to the first, as he had indicated at the end of July release of its first half results.

Good prospects ahead

For operators of the Paris Bourse, this caution does not reassure. To 11 hours, unscrewed from the Vallourec share price 4.30% to 42.09 euros in a market down 0.40%. Time reserved for the decline, the title was back in the fall of scoring more than 8% in early trade. "This is another disappointment confirming our negative scenario for action in the short term," said one trader faxless cash advance.

CM-CIC has also reduced its earnings forecast for the coming years. However, "after two years of transition in 2011 and 2012, the recovery results in 2013 will be very sensitive," the broker understands."Vallourec has shown that the evolution of its global business model will make the group more competitive and increase significantly its medium-term results."

This view is shared by the management of Vallourec, which considers that the negative impact of new projects, including the new steel mill and pipe mill in Brazil and the mill in the United States who will be commissioned in mid-2012, the Gross operation of 2012 should be reduced to about 60 to 80 million euros. The next year should also benefit from price increases implemented in 2011. The group should provide more detail on this last point when publishing its quarterly results on November 9.

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Finally down. After rising continuously for two years, property prices in France fell 2.7% in the third quarter. An observation made by Century 21, one of the largest networks of estate agents. Attention, the phenomenon is not felt the same way everywhere.

The price per square meter have ebbed in seven regions, only one out of three. The most dramatic decline (-9.7%) occurred in Burgundy. Overall, the square meter reached 2621 euros on average in the Hexagon. This downward trend for most homes (-4%) than apartments (-0.8%). "This illustrates a trend that is not new, said Laurent Vimont, CEO of Century 21.Not to be too far from their workplaces, are the buyers prefer to live in inner cities where there are more apartments in suburbs where the houses are built. "

Contrary to what one might imagine, the ups and downs of the stock market and the threat of recession do not even buyers of housing. The decline in prices has a much more immediate cause: rising interest rates on home loans now in the neighborhood of 3.9%. "In recent months, buyers have lost purchasing power of real estate, says Laurent Vimont. In the second half of 2010, paying 1,000 euros a month for twenty years, they could borrow 172,400 euros.Today, with the same reimbursement for the same period, they can not borrow 160,800 Euros. "This increase in interest rates has an impact because in France, on average, 77% of the purchase of a property is financed with a mortgage.

But everybody does not suffer the same way that rising interest rates. Most affected are first-time buyers under 40 years, the number has dropped by 18%. But also the CSP (occupational categories) the least favored: the employees and workers down 17% or middle managers decreased by 12% among the buyers.

Canal +, Verallia, Lucien Barrière, Groupama and may soon Groupon Facebook … Months pass, and delayed plans to introduce as … Since the beginning of the year, stock markets have surpassed the dismal 2008 record of the number of IPOs interrupted, postponed or simply canceled. According to Dealogic, as of 1 January, 215 companies all markets (one more than the previous record of 2008) and have temporarily waived or not to stock their projects. The valuation of these suspended projects is estimated at 44.1 billion dollars.

As many failures as successes

Finally, with 224 new listed companies, plans IPO in 2011 materialized just above groups who backed down … Reveals a situation very unfavorable market conditions for the candidates to the adventure market."A successful introduction requires both companies which want to move in the markets and investors willing to commit, explains Philippe Kubis, capital markets partner at PwC. If the materials are there, the latter remain far behind, in a context of uncertainty in the business plan of candidates for introduction. In addition, operations are often arrested in very early stage, which means more delays than cancellations of projects. "

On June 20, the materials group Saint-Gobain Building and renounced to introduce an immediate business of bottles and jars, Verallia. Two months later, the CEO of Wendel (Wendel largest shareholder) welcomed the decision, finding that ca "was not a good start to the stock market history."Alongside 59 other companies had suspended their plans after the official launch of the operation, Verallia escaped the summer meltdown of financial markets, which saw the CAC 40 lost 18% between late June and early September. "The very low current valuations are not conducive to achieving the project, adds Philippe Kubis. The adequacy of the valuation of a company with market conditions at a given time is a key to the success of an operation. However, companies do not want an introduction to the discount. "

Market volatility, however, is not solely responsible. In September 2010, the hotel group Accor has sought to withdraw from the group of Casinos Lucien Barriere, via an initial public offering, and market conditions much more calm.No more successful for this group suffered from poor stock market performance of its competitor Partouche, and especially of a development strategy too unconvincing to raise funds expected.

Tell a story

A successful introduction presupposes an attractive project for sale to investors (a "story to tell," according to experts). From this point of view, some candidates still have a stock speech ambiguity, or an economic model that have not been sufficiently proven.

Best example: the site group purchasing U.S. Groupon. The group was founded by Andrew Mason enthusiastic market for two years by the brilliance of its growth. What to think about a possible introduction free credit score. But the news could cool investors.The site, which is a valuation of $ 20 billion, would be delayed by several months its plans stock, following the refusal by the federal authorities of certain elements of his record. The group took many liberties with the accounting to embellish his figures, making it the most beautiful bride. The kind of hocus-pocus that would certainly not digested the market if the group had been rated! Especially since Groupon continues to widen its losses under the weight of investment in advertising and marketing commitment to support its growth.

In terms of social networks, some uncertainty still exists about how to value companies. "The valuations given for these sites seem important in light of an economic model that looks a little, says Philippe Kubis.It seems to move towards a model including user fees, which ultimately enhance the strength of their profile, and investor interest. "

Constraints rating

A case which also the developer of video games on social networks Zynga. Again, the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) had requested more information on the group's activities. What backward one month (November) the first steps in Zynga Stock Exchange. Even Facebook, social networking superstar, endless hesitation. Its founder Marck Zuckerberg, fear of such an operation a shift in focus of its product development teams to financial performance. From this point of view, the market performance of its professional counterpart, LinkedIn tends to reinforce his caution.Despite a triumphant introduction to the New York Stock Exchange last May, the group rating today in its opening price.

For SMEs, the fund raising smaller first appear easier. Following the example of specialist endomicroscopy Mauna Kea, which easily lifted in early July about 50 million euros on the Paris. Innovative technology, and markets more stable: the stage was set to attract investors. But since then, the small company founded in 2000 has not escaped the stock market panic. After being flown by 43% during the first two trading days (a common occurrence during IPOs), the title of the listed company has 13% below its price of admission.

Mauna Kea in its IPO price

For SMEs, the fund raising smaller first appear easier.Following the example of specialist endomicroscopy Mauna Kea, which easily lifted in early July about 50 million euros on the Paris. Innovative technology, and markets more stable: the stage was set to attract investors. But since then, the small company founded in 2000 has not escaped the stock market panic. After being flown by 43% during the first two trading days (a common occurrence during IPOs), the title of the listed company has 13% below its price of admission.

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The defeat of the France rugby team against New Zealand does not have a bitter taste for everyone. TF1, the broadcaster of the game, was pleased to display a record audience for a rugby match since 2007. Saturday morning, 7.8 million people watched the match on average, 65% audience share on the 4 and older. "The hearings are excellent. It should be noted that with 50% audience share on Women, the games attract beyond the traditional circle of sports fans, "said François Pellissier, athletic director at TF1. The crowd is even rise to 9 million viewers late in the game in hopes of a last burst of the Blues face the All Blacks.

Since the beginning of the competition, the team of France is mobilizing the masses. The first match between France and Japan gathered 5 million viewers and a week later France-Canada has attracted 7.6 million.Scores of rivers, these early morning hours on weekends, spray the audience share. Usually on Saturday morning, TF1 is a teleshopping program that fascinates 200,000 addicts. Even the traditional "Auto Moto" and "Téléfoot" on Sunday morning, only drain an average of 1.2 million and 1.8 million fans.

If matches are followed, the magazine presented by Denis Brogniart is also a ratings success. Before France and Japan, "World Cup, the Mag" was attended by 2.6 million people, after France and Canada, it reached 3 million. Small disappointment, "Mag" aired last Saturday of 10:00 to 10:30 has made a 1 pay day loans.7 million audience. Even fans give themselves a fat oval ball on Saturday morning!

Spot € 100,000

With France virtually guaranteed to play the quarterfinals, TF1 can breathe.The chain should at least remove some ten million euros in net advertising revenue (not including sponsorship) of this adventure even if France stops at the quarter-final stage. If the Blues are in the semifinals, the addition will reach 11 million and if they reach the final, TF1 should earn 12 million euros net, according to forecasts by Philippe Nouchi, director of media expertise for agencies Starcom and ZenithOptimedia. With France in the quarterfinals, the 30-second spot is expected to sell 84,000 euros, 90,000 euros semifinals and finals 100,000 euros. Without France, it will settle for 37,000 euros a spot in the semifinals and 43,000 euros in the final spot.

For TF1, the economic equation should not be too unfavorable. The group had bought the two editions (2007 and 2011) to 80 million euros.For competition in New Zealand, TF1 decided to sell some games to France Television and Canal + to 13 million euros. If the chain reaps a dozen million of advertising and it boosts average audience of September and October, the operation will be advantageous.

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