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The Paris Bourse closed this week very agitated in the green. This Friday, the CAC 40 ended on a net increase of 4.02% to 3213.88. The London Stock Exchange gained 3.04% at the close, the DAX 3.45% to 5997.74 points, Milan 4%. But everywhere, the sessions have been very volatile in trading volume lower than the previous day (4.84 billion euros in Paris).

The CAC 40 is thus fell into the red immediately after opening up 0.17%. It still yielded 1.59% in morning before rising slope, and show an increase of 2.09% to 3154 points in mid-session.Around 16:15, the Paris index gained 2.76% to 3174.79 even despite the publication items, across the Atlantic, two mixed macroeconomic statistics that have hampered the enthusiasm of investors in New York.

Retail sales in the U.S. in July and were up 0.5% (after 0.3% in June), but the U.S. consumer confidence has it, fell in August. According to an index released Friday by the University of Michigan, which stood at 54.9, its lowest level since it is established, either since 1966. This drop has surprised analysts who had forecast a smaller drop to 62.5.

No growth in the second quarter

On the macroeconomic front in France, INSEE reported this morning from zero growth in the second quarter in France (0.0%), against an increase of 0.9% in the first quarter.Inflation also slowed: the consumer prices fell by 0.4% in July, resulting in an increase of 1.9% over the year (against 2.1% from June 2010 to June 2011 ).

Faced with these new investors are so cautious again after a week marked by extreme market volatility, which saw the CAC 40 push the psychological threshold of 3000 points during the session Thursday. Investors were finally reassured by the announcement of a meeting between Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel on August 16 to issue joint proposals on the governance of the euro area.

Bank stocks rebound

Since the ban on short selling in the securities of eleven banks and insurance companies to counter the extreme volatility of the stock market values, the latter continuing their rebound started the day before, the image of BNP Paribas (4, 91% to 37.47 euros), which issued a statement Thursday night to reaffirm the strength of its capital, Societe Generale (3.15% to 23.72 euros) and Credit Agricole (1.77% to 6 , 49 euros).

Natixis wins 7.26% to 3.06 euros and signs the largest increase in the CAC.

Carrefour jumps more than 5%

Other values ​​to follow, Carrefour pulls out of the game: the way ahead vigorously 5.13% to 18.85 euros.U.S. giant Wal-Mart have mandated UBS to investigate the acquisition of the Brazilian subsidiary of French retailer, according to Reuters citing a source familiar with the matter.

Goldman Sachs lowered its recommendation on Lafarge (-0.17% to 28.96 euros) and withdrew the title from its list of recommended values ​​in priority to the purchase.The intermediary has instead built his list to Saint-Gobain (3.72% to 34 euros) and Vinci (2.42% to 35.3 euros).

Europacorp (3.13% to 3.30 euros), the production company of Luc Besson, Thursday reaffirmed its goal of a return to balance for the current year, despite a sharp decline its turnover in the first quarter.

Derichebourg (2.98% to 3.63 euros) on Thursday confirmed its target of improving its annual net income, after recording a sharp increase in sales over the first nine months of the year.

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Baroin the stage. He keeps repeating the last few days: it will require further cuts in the tax loopholes in 2012. For now, the government planned to cut $ 3 billion. "It is very likely that we will go beyond, as part of the Finance Act," warns the Minister of Economy. Otherwise, the objective of reducing the public deficit (4.6% of GDP in 2012, 3% in 2013) will not be met. The IMF says the same thing Wednesday, in the final version of his report on France, he warned that without additional effort, the deficit "would decline more slowly contemplated" and still reach 3.8% two years.

However, Prime Minister François Fillon reiterated last week even as the French would not have to tighten their belts further.If the IMF is seeking new revenue – or additional savings – is that it considers the government's growth projections too optimistic. He did not table more than 1.9% next year (after 2.1% this year), where the government is preparing its 2012 budget on an assumption of 2.25% (after 2%).

The cost of Greece and Libya

But that's not really what worries Bercy. Growth at 2.25%? "The account will be," says without a doubt a top official of the Ministry of Economy.

However, Bercy identified several elements that could degrade the accounts. First, the second bailout of Greece. While it will not weigh directly on the deficit of France, as François Fillon stressed. The private sector has agreed to cash a loss equivalent to 21% of the value of the loan granted to Athens.The slate for French banks would exceed 2 billion euros. "We will inevitably income tax on companies and less," admits the Ministry of Economy.

Then "there will be a time when we look at the balance of external operations," Do we loose the ministry. In other words, the commitment of the army in Libya could be very expensive.

Finally, remember that at Bercy Taiwan frigates affair will cost 460 million euros to France. In early June, after ten years of a bitter legal battle, Thales has indeed been ordered to pay more than $ 800 million in Taiwan, for commissions on the sale of frigates in 1991. The State had brought its guarantee in the contract."Public finances must now endure the heavy consequences of the decision in 1991 to pay commissions, unlike the letter of the contract," Matignon had pointed to the announcement of the court decision. This cost was included in the supplementary budget at the beginning of July. It will, however, offset this expense.

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The 3700 points were in the viewfinder of investors in the Paris Stock Exchange on Wednesday. They were exceeded in the early exchanges. At the close, the CAC shows a new gain of 1.61% to 3754.60 points. Yesterday, the Paris VAIT has already managed to recover, ending on a rise of 1.21% to 3694 points.

Other major European markets advance in unison. The London Stock Exchange was also up, the stock exchanges of Madrid and Milan are the most active with gains of 3% each. In London, the FTSE-100 index gaining 1.1% to 5853.82 points in mid-session and featuring Dax index of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange advancing 0.40% to 7221.36 points.

Operators are encouraged by the good performance of U.S. markets, driven by advances in parliamentary negotiations in the United States for raising the ceiling on the debt.President Barack Obama for the first time reported "progress" in this debate, adding that the new Senate plan, presented Tuesday, was "consistent" in its approach. The Chairman stressed however that "not much time" before the deadline of August 2 to avoid a default. Wall Street was also reassured by good indicators of industrial performance and better than expected. Asian markets were also sending positive signals this morning.

Time, however, should still be prudent on the eve of a crucial European summit for the future of the euro area. The heads of state are to meet Thursday in Brussels to discuss the bailout of Greece. Several proposals for involving the private sector are on the table.

On the currency side, the euro rose slightly against the greenback at 1.4181 dollars against 1.4150 dollars late Tuesday.Oil is, him up: a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in August takes 80 cents to 98.30 dollars and that of Brent North Sea crude for September delivery gained 69 cents to 117.75 dollars .

Values ​​to follow

Havas: + 1.88% to 3.46 euros

The advertising group has announced the acquisition of a majority stake in the Australian Host, the first independent agency of the country, for an undisclosed sum.

Saffron: + 3.25% to 28.60 euros

Tuesday the group received the green light from Washington for the purchase of American specialist of biometrics L-1 Identity Solutions. The agreement was announced last September for $ 1.1 billion in cash.

Edenred: -5.14% to 20.49 euros

The company specializes in prepaid service said Wednesday he was informed of an investment for 8% of its capital.Nearly 18 million shares have been placed Edenred Wednesday market at a price of 20.30 euros, a total of around 367 million euros, according to a source familiar with the matter said that the placement was the act of a U.S. institutional.According to a source market, it is South Eastern Asset Management.

Alstom: -1.30% to 37.95 euros

The group said Wednesday sales down 12% in the first quarter of fiscal year 2011-2012, to 4.5 billion euros, reflecting the "low level of orders registered during the crisis," but a sharp rebound its order intake over the same period (+44%).

Schneider Electric: + 1.52% to 106.70 euros

The group announced an extension until August 2 of its friendly takeover of two billion dollars (1.4 billion euros) on the Spanish Telvent, which it already owns to 19 July, before the closing date of the offer, 97% of the shares.

Laurent-Perrier: -1.15% to 97.75 euros

The group announced Wednesday an increase of 11.5% of its turnover in the first quarter thanks to a mix effect prices soaring and exports still strong.

Accor: + 3.03% to 30.40 euros

The group was optimistic Tuesday in announcing an acceleration of organic growth in the second quarter due to increased occupancy rates and the gradual recovery of prices.

ADP: + 1.12% to 61.38 euros

The group announced a 4.6% increase in passenger traffic at its airports in June, driven by growth across all trajectories with the exception of Africa and the Middle East.

PPR: + 0.98% to 128.75 euros

Fnac, a subsidiary of luxury group, unveiled Tuesday a five-year strategic plan, called "Fnac 2015", which should enable it to boost sales after a disappointing performance.

EADS: + 3.30% to 24.72 euros

Boeing, seeking to rescue a potentially very large contract with American Airlines, has offered to install a new engine on the current 737, while the airline is still considering a generous offer to Airbus. Moreover, the French military shipbuilder DCNS said Wednesday negotiate with the German Atlas Electronik the creation of a joint venture between their respective activities of underwater weapons, confirming a report in Les Echos.Atlas Elektronik is owned by EADS and ThyssenKrupp.

Biomerieux: -1.44% to 78.46 euros

The group announced the acquisition of French company Argene Molecular Biology and confirmed the objective of growth of its business year after an increase of 3.5% of its turnover in the first half of 2011.

Sanofi-Aventis: + 1.14% to 55.06 euros

The Canadian Valeant Pharmaceuticals announced yesterday the signing of an agreement to buy the French laboratory marketing rights and distribution in Canada of a cream against osteoarthritis.

Manitou: + 1.03% to 21.65 euros

The group raised its forecast Tuesday for 2011 after signing up 45% of its turnover in the first half despite the continuing difficulties of supply.

Always on the side of publications, after market, Unibail-Rodamco will present its second quarter results and Ubisoft announce its first quarter 2011-2012 revenues.

Alongside the giants Fitch, Moody's and Standard & Poor's, "small" credit rating agencies are somewhat more severe in their ratings of sovereign debt …

In fact, earlier this year, more than half of Canadian sovereign ratings by DBRS, and the Japanese JCR and Rating & Investment (the three "small" agencies enjoying a certain notoriety) are quite correlated, and appear on average equivalent to Fitch, Moody's and Standard & Poor's. Chinese Dagong, however, stands out, since at best one third of his notes are the same as those of Moody's, Fitch and S & P. These notes have several characteristics. First, the "ratings" assigned by Dagong the major emerging countries [Brazil, China, India, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, note] are significantly higher than those of Western agencies.Then, his notes to the major industrialized countries [North America, Europe and Japan] are much lower than those of Western agencies. In both cases, the differential of notes can reach four notches, which is considerable.

What credit can we give these agencies?

They have mainly local influence, at best regional. So even if DBRS has a good reputation, is most active in Canada and the United States. It is also accredited by the SEC [Securities and Exchange Commission, Constable of the U.S. markets]. But it suffers from a lack of notoriety outside of North America. As for JCR and Rating & Investment, these agencies have an influence on the Asian continent, but tend to "surnoter" Asian debt issuers. Both are accredited by the SEC. However, Dagong this accreditation was denied two years ago.The U.S. authorities have found it too especially in the political influence of Beijing. Since then, Dagong never ceases to publish reports critical of both the U.S. monetary and fiscal policy, that the action of three. In summary, Dagong tries to embody the alternative in the rating industry. It is aware that the financial difficulties of the United States and several European countries confirm their views. Still, recent events such as doubts about the sustainability of the euro area and the uncertainties about the ability of the United States to halt the spiral of debt due to give Dagong.

Some leading economists, such as Patrick Artus (Natixis), Dagong now estimate that better reflects the reality, particularly offended to see the 'big three' to keep a high rating for U.S. debt.What do you think?

I share the view of Patrick Artus on the fact that the ratings of several countries are excessively high. Fitch, Moody's and S & P "surnoté" Greece and many European countries because they have seen, wrongly, that membership in the euro area reduces the risk of insolvency overnight pay day loans… It was a mistake. States whose public debt has risen sharply over the past decade that have not reorganized their welfare state and have sufficiently reformed their pension system should be degraded. However, I also think that Dagong "surnote" some emerging, such as China, Russia and South Africa. In detail, the "overweight" on criteria such as economic growth and foreign exchange reserves, but neglects the indicators of political and institutional stability, not thinking enough in terms of debt sustainability.For industrialized countries recorded a triple and double "A" by Fitch, Moody's and S & P can afford debt levels higher than those of emerging markets, given the importance of the middle class, better social cohesion, and greater ease in accessing capital markets.

In a context of debt crisis, and after the disappointments of the "Big Three" during the crisis (widely criticized, especially for high marks stamped toxic financial products) these agencies for the time being heard by some markets , she can gain influence?

For four years, it's true that small agencies, few involved in these scandals, have the opportunity to hold their own in the game but break into the industry rating is very difficult because the three major agencies hold almost all (95%) market share.To me, small agencies have only two possible strategies: either they specialize in industry niches or geographic, or they differ in their diagnoses and notations, like Dagong.

Do we need more competition in the industry of the rating?

Yes, and again, the new entrants will be more positive than their ratings diverge from those of the 'big three'. This can particularly help reduce the effects of mimicry on the markets. But regulators must ensure, however, that increased competition does not lead to an inflation of ratings that may be confusing. In addition to competition, agencies must review their methodologies.In the future, agencies should lower the country notes that even in times of growth, are unable to reduce their deficits, as these states will be vulnerable in the first economic downturn. This type of care would include agencies to better anticipate the debt crises.

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The management consulting sector confirms its forecast of market recovery and expects growth of between 5 and 7% of its business for 2011 (against 5% in 2010). Despite satisfactory order books and a volume of proposals being important, firms remain cautious. "The general feeling is that it is always an accident thank you for coming all macroeconomic challenge," says the industry trade association, Syntec Management Consulting, which has today its 2010 balance sheet and persoectives .This visibility results found at least by hiring a reboot, including profiles of graduates.

Who benefits most from this recovery? "It's the mid-sized firms that have the highest growth rate at 7.5%, the majors and large are in turn slightly behind, with growth of around 4.5% 5%, "says Syntec management consulting. Another finding, "the speakers operating on more strategic tasks or missions branches record the strongest growth."

What are the sectors most applicants for management consulting? Financial services grew and consolidated their lead with 30% of the total, followed by industry (23%) or administration (15%).As for the energy sector and the environment they are placed fourth with 11% of the missions.

As for the interventions, they relate primarily to the organizational consulting and change management (30% market share). "These services are carried by the restart of delays in 2009 and the new transformation projects," said Syntec. The consulting cost optimization continues to be well positioned with 17% of operator actions.

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The fear of bankruptcy Greek has never been stronger. Sunday, finance ministers of the euro area have again met in Luxembourg to lay the foundations for a new rescue plan, this time involving the private sector.

To address the most urgent, priority was first to validate the fifth installment of the loan of 110 billion made last year in the first aid plan. "We will work to pave the way for the release" of this slice of 12 billion, assured the German Minister Wolfgang Schäuble on arrival. Otherwise Athens, facing deadlines refinancing risk bankruptcy next month. However, the decision could be taken only Monday, after the meeting, warned the President of the Eurogroup, Jean-Claude Juncker.It is also linked to the IMF agreement, which should provide about a quarter of the promised amount and conditioned his release date for further progress in economic reforms in Greece. But ministers were mostly working on a new rescue plan, with "at least an agreement in principle", according to one diplomatic source. The amount could approach that of the first packet. If the principle is an act, the terms of this extension will however be referred to the next meeting of finance ministers, scheduled July 11. The big question concerns the involvement of banks."We'll talk tonight about the involvement of private creditors, the question is how far it can and must go," summed up Jean-Claude Juncker.

"We play with fire"

Friday in Berlin, Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel had outlined the mechanism, with four main principles: voluntary participation of private creditors, approval of the ECB, nor a "credit event" and rapid implementation. But Wolfgang Schäuble Sunday as Chancellor reiterated that the participation of private creditors should be substantial. Germany prefers the idea of ​​longer maturities on debt, where Paris defends the option of "rollover" that would see creditors renew their credit lines in Athens at the maturity of loans.For Europeans, the most important thing is to convince investors that it is not part of a payment default.

"We play with fire," warned Saturday the President of the Eurogroup. Bankruptcy of Greece "may be contagious for Portugal and Ireland and, before Spain, to Belgium and Italy, given their heavy debt." And in this game of dominoes, the Belgian Finance Minister Didier Reynders, did not rule out that France is also reached, "when you see the level of deficit and debt." The financial world has been rocked in 2008 by the collapse of Lehman Brothers, he said in an interview with The Tribune."Do not repeat this type of bankruptcy."

After the reshuffle of his government, Prime Minister, George Papandreou, has, meanwhile, claimed Sunday the confidence of Parliament in order to get its austerity plan in late June, and thus obtain the release of the new international aid. A vote is expected Tuesday night.

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While EU leaders try to reassure financial markets by removing any idea of ​​restructuring or default, the rating agencies to drive endless Greece. Moody's after the Ascension, Standard & Poor's downgraded three notches note of Greece on Whit Monday. And what a month after having been lowered by two. Another two notches and the country would be in default. "The deterioration reflects our opinion that there is an even higher risk of one or more defects," the agency said in a statement, while the debate rages over the possibility of restructuring the public debt of Greece.

S & P believes that, as part of a restructuring of the Greek debt, the private sector (banks, investment funds, insurers), drawn on, would be faced either a "trading securities" or an "extension maturities.Such operations would be considered "as a failure" by the rating agency, and in this case, it could assign a note to Greece even lower, relegating it to a situation of partial default.

Standard & Poor's stressed, however, it could stabilize the country's rating to "CCC", if the euro zone was a solution that does not correspond to a default under its criteria, even taking into account the risk of debt restructuring "in the form of a discount" by 2013.The U.S. rating agency added that Greece can not go on the financial markets in 2012 and "probably later", as agreed under the Emergency Plan supported by the EU and IMF for the country .

This did not cause further deterioration of sharp declines in U.S. stock markets, Wall Street still showing slight increases: 0.23% to 11,981.28 points and the Dow Jones + 0.18% to 2648.30 points for the Nasdaq. Credit rating agencies have not yet won their showdown. Meanwhile the reactions of financial markets on Tuesday.

It's like income a year and a half ago. At the time, Renault intends to build its Clio IV in Turkey and not on the site Flins in the Yvelines. The government had to intervene and finally get the direction the car is partly built in France.

Will history repeat itself with PSA that intends to close its factory in Aulnay-sous-Bois (Seine-Saint-Denis) and Sevelnord (North). Except that unlike Renault's 30% owned by the state, the manufacturer, a lion is a 100% private. The scope of government is much smaller.

"These companies are accountable to the nation"

The State is taking this matter very seriously.If the Minister of Industry, Eric Besson, who met Thursday evening PSA CEO, Philippe Varin, said he was "reassured" by the commitments made by the carmaker, Prime Minister Francois Fillon, the move to guérande (Loire-Atlantique), did not hesitate to call the toll paid by the state to help a struggling sector during the economic crisis. At the time, PSA and Renault had received three billion euros each. "Given the large amount of aid made to the French car industry by the government, I would not and would not understand that these companies are not beholden to the nation that has helped low interest personal loan." The Prime Minister will also have the opportunity to discuss this news with Philippe Varin on Saturday, as both men find themselves in the 24 Hours of Le Mans.

The Socialist Party (PS) is however not reassured."I do not have much confidence in his statements (Philippe Varin), says the spokesman of the Socialist Party, Benoît Hamon. Because we see a real transhumance migration of automotive production facilities and their equipment from the west to the east of Europe. " For its part, the Socialist mayor of Aulnay-sous-Bois, Gerard Segura, is confident that "until 2016, when production of the C3 should end in this factory. The industrial director of PSA, Denis Martin, had said Thursday that "industrial, it is absolutely impossible to give a guarantee on a sustainable medium and long terms. We have visibility into our roadmap to a year or 18 months. It is an absolute maximum, "he concludes. No doubt the state will seek to convince SAP to reconsider its plans.

From our special correspondent in Los Angeles.

LE FIGARO. – After the loss of 277 million to a turnover of 3.6 billion last year, will you become profitable again in fiscal year 2011-2012, which began April 1?

John Riccitiello – Yes. Electronic Arts will be the recipient this year. But let me tell you that since 2009, according to U.S. accounting standards known as non-GAAP, the group is profitable. Last year we made a profit of 70 cents per share and cash flow generated by economic activity of the company was 340 million.

What is your progress in selling games dematerialized?

Last year, digital distribution accounted for 23.5% of group turnover, with 27% last quarter. This year, we should generate over a billion dollars on a turnover of around 3.8 billion.So we will be increasing. Last year, the increase of turnover in sales dematerialized game was 46%, growth is incredible.

All your games do they need to have a version for smartphones, tablets, PCs and social networks?

The market is changing. A few years ago when you were a player you used to play on one console or a single computer. Now, most consumers have a console, a smartphone or tablet and a Facebook account. We do not look at how the public revenue but when he plays. Consumers use all their facilities for entertainment via the Internet. We are in a unique position to be number one or two worldwide in games for social networks, PCs, smartphones, game consoles and "micro" transactions.

Electronic Arts Will he beat Zynga, the champion of games for social networks?

I want to be number one on all platforms. But in games for social networks we are number two, behind Zynga. We will propose additional games. We hope to beat them, but I do not know when it will happen.

How do you explain that your market capitalization of 7.6 billion dollars while Zynga is estimated around 10 billion?

In general, investors refer to multiples of profits to value companies. Our market capitalization is about 20 times our earnings expected by Wall Street. The social network LinkedIn is capitalizing approximately 100 times its future profits. Zynga is estimated at an unbelievable level. Investors were still in their sights a profession as "hot." Now, what are the social networks.Financiers believe that Facebook, Zynga, Groupon or LinkedIn will be the next Google. These companies are valued using a different criterion, that of promise. But they will not all win.

Fifa 12 game has just added a social component with Part Football Club and you'll soon launch the Social sims …

We try to provide the best possible experience in all media and all platforms. This will not necessarily be the same game but we want to connect the data for you to be recognized in all media and gaming experience to continue, even if you do not have exactly the same functions no faxing payday loan.

What do you expect a social version of The Sims, which will extend the experience on Facebook?

We sold a total of 140 million since the launch sims the gameI think we will have between 3 and 10 million players per day for Sims Social. This is a new market. We could not achieve our revenue in 2010 only with games sold for less than a dollar a piece! But this activity will help boost our business in the Sims. This is the secret of the business in video games.

What is the secret?

When something works, it does more, otherwise it makes less. Add component contributes to increase revenue from one year to another. The platform for downloading and Origin game sales, which we announced in early June, will help increase our revenues.

You're more interested in Ubisoft, where you controlled between 15 and 20% of capital?

I've never been. We never wanted to buy. We realized a reasonable profit by selling our participation last year.I like Yves Guillemot of Ubisoft games, as Michel Guillemot, who led the company for mobile games Gameloft. I think the best asset for Ubisoft's Guillemot family and for the best platform in Gameloft. I never saw these companies as a direct competitor to Electronic Arts.

What will be the major massively multiplayer game that you run this year?

It will be "Star Wars: The Old Republic" will be available on Origin. I think we will see a blurring of boundaries between different versions of games for mobile, shelves, brackets and to those subscriptions.I do not think we would start a simple massively multiplayer game now because of market developments.

Where are you with your calls Activision $ 400 million for the departure of two founding Infinite Ward's studio, which developed Call of Duty, and now working for Electronic Arts?

Great talents often go to companies that perform the best job. They filed a complaint against us. But you know, we're in the entertainment industry, so there may be much ado about nothing. On this issue, we have not made provisions in our accounts.

Is this a great loss to have seen your Assistant Chief John Schappert, join Zynga?

Yes. But that's life business.Last year, 212 engineers went to competition and we've hired 384.

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The digital adventure continues for Madame Figaro. This Friday, the magazine will launch the i-mad 2, the second issue of the magazine free interactive proposed on the Apple tablet. A second edition promises to be "ever more chic, shock and surprise."

As with the previous i-mad 2 will use technology developed by Adobe Digital Publishing Suite, a first in France in the world of magazines. This solution, used in particular by Wired magazine in the U.S., will control the process of creating content across a chain of production."A technology that delivers high-impact interactions such as panoramas and 360 degree spins," said a statement.

This month, the magazine will feature interactive "all these women who have the keys change hands" through a selection of articles of Madame Figaro, rich content and interactive videos. This special issue will draw such a portrait of Lady Gaga and propose a new meeting with Georgia May Jagger. Visitors can also explore the rising French actress photos, immortalized by Cedric Klapisch or unpublished portraits by Peter Lindbergh.

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